The distinguishing issue for me is: have they done it at the P5 level. You like some guys that would be taking a big step up, and I'm all for interviewing them too, as I think that's probably our best path to a home run hire, but I also see a lot of guys I think who are really good coaches struggle when they move up. I also agree with you: make the calls to even unlikely "home run" guys like Pearl and Oats (and Stevens even though I think turning us down twice makes him the most unlikely of unlikely guys). I'm just saying when you weed out the names on your list that are very unlikely, Beard is really in the top tier of guys who have proven P5 experience. Mostly in my mind comes down to he and Smart. I think the buyout on Oats and Otzelberger make them extremely unlikely. But, yes, you can list them as names if you want to try and prove your point that there are tons of great candidates out there. In reality, there aren't. Tons of guys who are better than our current coach, but not tons of guys who are likely to return IU to competing for B10 and national titles.
We've seen that its probably not realistic to get someone like that...
I'm not smart enough to figure out why that is...but we've seen it with multiple other "big name" schools in recent years. I've listed all these same proven guys in my "lists"...but I hope, LIKE HELL, Dolson isn't banking on getting someone like Shaka Smart, or Buzz Williams, or one of the current established SEC dudes... I'm just not sure why IU would be able to lure someone like that, when Kentucky, Louisville, Villanova, etc.. haven't been able to recently. Go after Smart, Williams...whoever fits the more proven P4 guy list that isn't someone like Scheyer or Self. But DO NOT, DO NOT, neglect a handful of promising candidates that are more realistic. I'm choosing to focus on THOSE guys, because the odds are telling me that's the type of coach we'll be getting.
But this isn't some sort of deflating or desperate situation. Times have changed...coaches don't have to slowly develop kids...a school like IU, as we saw with Woodson...who is an awful coach, who runs an unappealing style, and isn't charismatic in really any way...was able to get Ballo, Rice, Tucker, etc... Bates, Reneau, JHS... Keep TJD... He's been able to get, or keep elite talent, in pretty much every recruiting cycle. He's an awful talent evaluator, in terms of how they fit with his teams. And then we can see he's awful using the talent he gets. But he's still getting the talent. Because he's the head coach at Indiana University, and we have nearly the most of what everyone cares about...NIL money.
Its obviously not a guarantee...but man, give IU's resources to one of the many guys I've mentioned that's proven it all the way up to the P4 level... and there's decent odds that they'd be able to continue their successes. What all of them have proven is they're capable of building programs that are successful against their peers. Not sure why that abruptly stop at IU.
Its just as likely that their success will continue on and translate, as it is they wouldn't be able to handle the unique dynamics high major ball. And if, for some reason, we get a guy that isn't comfortable recruiting elite NBA capable players, or then isn't comfortable coaching them when they get here... There's still the chance that he'd still be successful at IU, by virtue of being a great basketball coach.
This is why I'm keeping the McCollum name alive in my lists. I think his "floor" at IU would be a Wisconsin like program. And if he adapts, at all, and is able to attract NBA level players to run his system...he's the guy that has the potential, above any one else on the list, to make Indiana a dominant program. And I say that acknowledging that I don't like his offensive style and pace of play.