CFP schedule

[Jssanto]

Everyone seems to have us playing Georgia.
Is there a scenario where we would play someone else? If Georgia beats Texas in the SEC championship game wouldn’t Georgia move up and someone else become the #7 seed and play us?
What if ND plays poorly, could they go down to #7?
Aren’t there still a lot of possible different outcomes?

 

[Bowlmania]

Everyone seems to have us playing Georgia.
Is there a scenario where we would play someone else? If Georgia beats Texas in the SEC championship game wouldn’t Georgia move up and someone else become the #7 seed and play us?
What if ND plays poorly, could they go down to #7?
Aren’t there still a lot of possible different outcomes?

That’s because people don’t understand how this works. There are certainly scenarios where we would play someone else. One scenario is Georgia winning. Another scenario is Georgia losing!

Tonight’s seedings are just projections. There are games this weekend. Things will change.

Notre Dame can’t play poorly because they’re done until the CFP, likely as a 5-seed.

 

[kurt cloverdales]

Everyone seems to have us playing Georgia.
Is there a scenario where we would play someone else? If Georgia beats Texas in the SEC championship game wouldn’t Georgia move up and someone else become the #7 seed and play us?
What if ND plays poorly, could they go down to #7?
Aren’t there still a lot of possible different outcomes?

if Georgia beats Texas would have to believe they would move ahead of them. if Clemson beat SMU I would think we would move up a spot

 

[YOTHN]

So many variables. If SMu beats Clemson, Oregon beats Penn State and Georgia beats Texas....i think GA is likely the #2 seed. I imagine that would make ND or TX the #5 and #6 seed, Penn State or OSU #7 & #8, TN #9, and then IU is #10. Lots of options at this point but I am hoping for Georgia.

 

[Harry Hondo]

if Georgia beats Texas would have to believe they would move ahead of them. if Clemson beat SMU I would think we would move up a spot

My understanding is that they’d win the SEC and be one of the top 4 teams with a bye. Then does IU play Texas in Austin?

 

[twenty02]

What the hell happens if Clemson beats SMU?

 

[SRIV94]

What the hell happens if Clemson beats SMU?

They get in and one of SMU or ALA would be out.

 

[IUgradman]

What the hell happens if Clemson beats SMU?

SMU drops out probably. The committee will do everything it can to keep Alabama in.

 

[kurt cloverdales]

What the hell happens if Clemson beats SMU?

Clemson gets a bye, how dumb is that

 

[SRIV94]

Clemson gets a bye, how dumb is that

Depends. If BOIS wins, I think CLEM stays behind them and the IAST/AZST winner. CLEM would need UNLV to win at BOIS for the chance to jump them.

 

[IUfan1957]

It appears Alabama received more style points losing to Oklahoma then we did by beating Purdue. Hard to believe this committee has put the SEC bias in the past. SOS

 

[twenty02]

SMU drops out probably. The committee will do everything it can to keep Alabama in.

So no scenarios where we could possibly move up to the 8 seed and host?

 

[kurt cloverdales]

Depends. If BOIS wins, I think CLEM stays behind them and the IAST/AZST winner. CLEM would need UNLV to win at BOIS for the chance to jump them.

thought the ACC winner gets a bye

 

[twenty02]

thought the ACC winner gets a bye

I believe it's the top 4 rated conference champions. So could be AZ State/Iowa State.... Which is just a stupid.

This system is dumb.

 

[TominDallas]

So no scenarios where we could possibly move up to the 8 seed and host?

I think we needed a better showing against OSU for that to happen.

 

[kurt cloverdales]

So no scenarios where we could possibly move up to the 8 seed and host?

if smu drops wouldn't we move up to 8?

 

[Wiedersehen]

if Georgia beats Texas would have to believe they would move ahead of them. if Clemson beat SMU I would think we would move up a spot

Do you all still not get this? UGA would be a top 4 seed and get a buy because they’d be a conference champion.

 

[Bowlmania]

So no scenarios where we could possibly move up to the 8 seed and host?

Texas with a resounding win over Georgia and Clemson defeating SMU.

 

[cd_hoosiers]

The crazy part is that Atlanta is hosting the SEC Championship, one of four CFP Quarterfinals, and the CFP Championship.

So UGA could play in Atlanta (sec), Atlanta (qf), Neutral (sf), Atlanta (f) if they win out or they could play Atlanta (sec), Athens (1r), Atlanta (qf), Neutral (sf), Atlanta (f) if they lose the SEC Championship and win out.

If either of those paths happen there need to be investigations.

 

[Bowlmania]

Do you all still not get this? UGA would be a top 4 seed and get a buy because they’d be a conference champion.

Sorry. I’m not laughing at your comment, just the underlying frustration. I think people are confusing rank with seeds, some don’t understand the byes (e.g. the lowest ranked conference champion does not get a bye) and others think tonight was the actual selection show/final pairings.

Just five more days until it’s etched in stone.

 

[Big Red Crimson Buffalo]

The crazy part is that Atlanta is hosting the SEC Championship, one of four CFP Quarterfinals, and the CFP Championship.

So UGA could play in Atlanta (sec), Atlanta (qf), Neutral (sf), Atlanta (f) if they win out or they could play Atlanta (sec), Athens (1r), Atlanta (qf), Neutral (sf), Atlanta (f) if they lose the SEC Championship and win out.

If either of those paths happen there need to be investigations.

Finebaum would lobby to have Bama as a #1 seed regardless of record and then have them play the quarterfinal and championship game in Tuscaloosa if he could.

 

[kmathum]

Texas with a resounding win over Georgia and Clemson defeating SMU.

Both of which are very possible.

 

[Bowlmania]

Both of which are very possible.

ESPN’s playoff predictor (computer generated data) gives us a 45% chance of hosting a first round game.

 

[frikkenfrakken]

if smu drops wouldn't we move up to 8?

Yes, but one of the conference champions would jump us and push us back down.

 

[IUPaterade724]

So many variables. If SMu beats Clemson, Oregon beats Penn State and Georgia beats Texas....i think GA is likely the #2 seed. I imagine that would make ND or TX the #5 and #6 seed, Penn State or OSU #7 & #8, TN #9, and then IU is #10. Lots of options at this point but I am hoping for Georgia.

I wish we could play Alabama somehow. Man, has their fanbase talked a lot of s*&t towards Indiana.

 

[Bowlmania]

Yes, but one of the conference champions would jump us and push us back down.

No. If Clemson and Arizona State both win, Clemson is likely to be the lowest ranked of the five conference champs and would enter the field as a 12. Arizona State would just replace SMU as one of the top four seeds. SMU would either fall behind us an at large or drop out of the 12-team field altogether.

 

[76-1]

Everyone seems to have us playing Georgia.
Is there a scenario where we would play someone else? If Georgia beats Texas in the SEC championship game wouldn’t Georgia move up and someone else become the #7 seed and play us?
What if ND plays poorly, could they go down to #7?
Aren’t there still a lot of possible different outcomes?

I like that match up as long as they don't get the type of home cookin' by the Refs that they had against GaTech...

That would set us up for a possible run against them (GA), Texas, and Notre Dame ( or even better Alabama)..., to reach the rematch for the Championship on a neutral field against "the" o-h-i-o $tate...

I Like It... Those are winnable games...

That run would settle all the strength of schedule questions... 🤣😎

The trick is: we gotta Win that first one...



😀 🏈 🏈 🏈 🏈 😀

 

[Bowlmania]

I like that match up as long as they don't get the type of home cookin' by the Refs that they had against GaTech...

That would set us up for a possible run against them (GA), Texas, and Notre Dame ( or even better Alabama). to reach the rematch for the Championship on a neutral field against "the" o-h-i-o $tate...

I Like It... Those are winnable games...

That run would settle all the strength of schedule questions... 🤣😎

The trick is: we gotta Win that first one...

View embedded media

😀 🏈 🏈 🏈 🏈 😀

Was that post drug-induced?

 

[IUgradman]

At the end of the day it’s just great to be in the playoffs. This is bigger than making the Final Four in basketball. It is so hard to break through to the upper echelon of football compared to basketball.

 

[Bowlmania]

At the end of the day it’s just great to be in the playoffs. This is bigger than making the Final Four in basketball. It is so hard to break through to the upper echelon of football compared to basketball.

Yes, particularly after the shit show in Columbus when things initially werent looking too promising. We got some help and then took care of business against Purdue.

IU fans should relax and relish these next few weeks. A first round road game is a tall order but, if we can overcome that hurdle, the field is wide open and we have as a good a chance as anyone.

 

[trailrunner]

What the hell happens if Clemson beats SMU?

Might knock Alabama out

 

[trailrunner]

thought the ACC winner gets a bye

Not if it’s Clemson

 

[SRIV94]

The crazy part is that Atlanta is hosting the SEC Championship, one of four CFP Quarterfinals, and the CFP Championship.

So UGA could play in Atlanta (sec), Atlanta (qf), Neutral (sf), Atlanta (f) if they win out or they could play Atlanta (sec), Athens (1r), Atlanta (qf), Neutral (sf), Atlanta (f) if they lose the SEC Championship and win out.

If either of those paths happen there need to be investigations.

If UGA beats TEX, most likely UGA would play in New Orleans (committee will likely set it up so that the byes go to their natural bowl—ORE or PSU to the Rose, SEC to the Sugar, etc.).

 

[Wiedersehen]

At the end of the day it’s just great to be in the playoffs. This is bigger than making the Final Four in basketball. It is so hard to break through to the upper echelon of football compared to basketball.

Now that’s crazy talk. We’d have also made a 12 team playoff back in 2020. Why this is an awesome accomplishment, it’s not a Final Four.

 

[IUgradman]

Now that’s crazy talk. We’d have also made a 12 team playoff back in 2020. Why this is an awesome accomplishment, it’s not a Final Four.

College football is 10X bigger than basketball in terms of attention and revenue generated. Most people really only follow basketball in March.

 

[Big Red Crimson Buffalo]

I wish we could play Alabama somehow. Man, has their fanbase talked a lot of s*&t towards Indiana.

When your super fan is a guy like Willy, it’s easy to understand:

 

[TMFT]

I can’t see a path to us hosting. We’re currently at 9 overall and would need to move up 3 spots to host.

That’s because SMU at 8 is slated for a bye. If they lose to Clemson, Clemson gets the bye but both them and SMU will be behind us in the rankings. In short, the ACC championship has no effect on us.

Only UGA/TX and PSU/OR will have any effect on IU. I would expect some movement based on the W/L. Maybe not a ton to punish someone for making their conference championship, but some.

Like, if UGA loses by 14, do they swap positions with OSU? I’m not particularly fond of taking another trip to Columbus.

My preference, for now, is for Georgia and PSU to get whipped bad.

Notre dame moves up to 3 overall
OSU to 4 overall
Tenn or PSU to 5 or 6 overall

We’d be looking to play in Knoxville or State College.

I’ve tried to wrap my head around what could happen in conference championship upsets, but I have no idea how the committee would rank them.

I do think that if UGA is the only upset, then we’re likely to play in Columbus or Austin because Georgia will get the bye, and who knows how far they’d drop Texas from #2.

 

[frikkenfrakken]

No. If Clemson and Arizona State both win, Clemson is likely to be the lowest ranked of the five conference champs and would enter the field as a 12. Arizona State would just replace SMU as one of the top four seeds. SMU would either fall behind us an at large or drop out of the 12-team field altogether.

Yes.

SMU is ahead of us, everyone else in the ACC is behind us. If Clemson beats SMU, we probably pass SMU but Clemson or the B12 Champ moves ahead of us into the 4 seed. We stay where we are in that scenario.

We can still move up in seeding, but not because of the ACC or B12 games.

 

[twenty02]

ESPN’s playoff predictor (computer generated data) gives us a 45% chance of hosting a first round game.

That things seems way off. Obviously it changes every time you run it... But the first run I did has us hosting OSU. That seems basically impossible.

I can't even come up with a scenario where we host other than maybe Georgia getting absolutely destroyed and somehow falling behind us.

 

[iubhounds]

What the hell happens if Clemson beats SMU?

Shit will hit the fan.