Stay at #12 with a win on the road against a ranked opponent. We should be in the top ten for sure. Meanwhile 2 loss Iowa St. Ranked #7.
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we're probably going to need a lot of luck now with the teams ahead of us losing
ESPN had a NY6 projection graphic and we weren't in it. I had to rewind and look again to be sure.This hurts our chances of making a NY6 bowl especially if these last few games get canceled.
Yes. #15 USC was the lowest ranked team on one of the ny6 bowls they projected.ESPN had a NY6 projection graphic and we weren't in it. I had to rewind and look again to be sure.
I keep seeing that allstate playoff predictor getting plugged, but it came out before we were snubbed in the CFP playoff rankings. But even before the rankings were released, having us at first-out at 37% was always going to be off with reality.The Allstate Playoff Predictor (managed by the ESPN Index) has us as the "first out" as of today/tonight at 37% chance of getting in.
Looking at the numbers, it looks like it assumes:
We're apparently in the best position based on computer probability of the teams not in the top 4....to make the top 4.
- We play NW in the B10 Championship (and win).
- Alabama hands Florida a second loss.
- OSU either loses or wins against Iowa (maybe both of us get in).
- Notre Dame beats Clemson
I keep seeing that allstate playoff predictor getting plugged, but it came out before we were snubbed in the CFP playoff rankings. But even before the rankings were released, having us at first-out at 37% was always going to be off with reality.
What about the Oklahoma/Iowas St game? What about Cincinnati? What about A&M? What about Clemson still probably being valued higher than IU by the CFP even with another loss to ND.I disagree. That index was AFTER the Michigan/OSU cancellation.
If we:
Beat NW and become B10 Champs
OSU beats Iowa to get stronger rankings
Florida loses to Bama
ND saddles Clemson with another loss
We could jump everyone.
They may put a one loss (@ strong OSU) Big 10 Champ in over any two loss non-champs, or even one loss non-champs (A&M).
What about the Oklahoma/Iowas St game? What about Cincinnati? What about A&M? What about Clemson still probably being valued higher than IU by the CFP even with another loss to ND.
I respect the dream, but it's a fantasy. You need at least 5 games to go a certain way and you'd still need the CFP to take an implicit bias training course if there's to be any hope of them appropriately valuing IU this year.
At Wisconsin is not a “good win”?
Honestly, eff this CFP committee. This is complete bullshit, for the reasons stated by Paz.
And not only is Iowa State a two loss team, one of their losses was to Louisiana effing Lafayette. These rankings are a complete farce. AP poll, on the other hand, got it right.
Louisiana may be ranked but they're a Sun Belt team, and they crushed Iowa State in Ames. That's a bad loss for Iowa State. No way that two loss team should be ahead of us.Wait, the two losses for Iowa State are to #19 Louisiana and #23 Oklahoma State. Now, is Okie a Top 25 team over Wisconsin?
Is Missouri worthy of Top 25 either?
Louisiana may be ranked but they're a Sun Belt team, and they crushed Iowa State in Ames. That's a bad loss for Iowa State. No way that two loss team should be ahead of us.
I see teams like Louisiana, Tulsa, SMU, Cincinnati, Coastal Carolina with lofty rankings and think immediately about the "fastest man in the nursing home".Louisiana may be ranked but they're a Sun Belt team, and they crushed Iowa State in Ames. That's a bad loss for Iowa State. No way that two loss team should be ahead of us.
Stay at #12 with a win on the road against a ranked opponent. We should be in the top ten for sure. Meanwhile 2 loss Iowa St. Ranked #7.
I see teams like Louisiana, Tulsa, SMU, Cincinnati, Coastal Carolina with lofty rankings and think immediately about the "fastest man in the nursing home".
I can't resist looking at rankings somewhat, but I lost confidence in all of them a long time ago.