Let me start here: I'm pretty sure that the Bush administration really did believe that Saddam had "WMDs", and in this they were in good company. But the case for war was still deeply dishonest.
First, the "WMD" formulation is spurious. Yes, most believed that Saddam still had chemical (and maybe even biological) weapons, but lumping these in with nuclear weapons is scaremongering. Chemical and biological weapons are to nuclear weapons as BB guns and slingshots are to . . . well, to nuclear weapons. They just aren't the same thing -- particularly insofar as our security is concerned.
Second, there wasn't any way Saddam could threaten us with anything unless he had links to al Qaeda, which he didn't have, and the evidence that he did was bullshit at the time. Nevertheless, the Bush administration did everything in its power to link Saddam (erroneously) with al Qaeda, and as a result most Americans erroneously believed Saddam had culpability for 9/11. Without this there would have been no case for war.
Third, the administration's (erroneous) case that Saddam had an active nuclear program was bullshit. Aluminum tubes: bullshit. Yellowcake: bullshit. Like it did for all of its other bullshit claims, the Bush administration leaked bullshit about Saddam's (nonexistent) nuclear program to reporters like Judith Miller, who dutifully published it in places like the (liberal) New York Times. Then, when asked what the truth was on "news" shows like Meet the Press, assholes like Dick Cheney would say, "Well, I can't comment on confidential intelligence, but the New York Times has reported that . . ." Complete and utter bullshit ensued.
Fourth, the Bush administration misled us about both the likely cost of the war and, more importantly, about the number of troops that would be required to secure the peace -- because if we knew the truth about this we'd know that it would be impossible to secure the peace. The Bush administration fired those who tried to tell us the truth.
But most fundamentally, the Big Lie was that the Iraq War had anything to do with intelligence about Iraqi WMDs. If the Bush administration had been basing its decisions on the intelligence, it would never have invaded Iraq, because the intelligence community believed that an invasion would lead to pretty much exactly the disasters that ensued. The Bush administration settled on "WMDs" as a justification for a war that it had unjustifiably decided to fight while the rubble from the World Trade Center was still smoldering -- if not before. I don't know why the Bush administration decided to invade Iraq, but "WMDs" were just an agreed upon rationalization. If you're defending the Bush administration's decision on the basis of WMDs, you're a sap.
But the real problem for us today is that the Very Serious People think that the correct question is, "Based on what we know now, was the invasion of Iraq a mistake?" It is a testament to the stupidity of the Republican Presidential field that this is regarded as a difficult question. Analogous questions:
Based on what you know now, would you still:
(1) Sail on the Titanic?
(2) Attack the entire Lakota nation at Little Big Horn?
(3) Lead Pickett's charge?
(4) Greenlight "Manimal"?
(5) Watch "Lost" all the way to the end?
No. Obviously not.
For Presidential candidates, though, James Fallows explains what the correct question is here. The correct answer is that, based on what we knew at the time, people (like me) who supported the invasion were foolish.
First, the "WMD" formulation is spurious. Yes, most believed that Saddam still had chemical (and maybe even biological) weapons, but lumping these in with nuclear weapons is scaremongering. Chemical and biological weapons are to nuclear weapons as BB guns and slingshots are to . . . well, to nuclear weapons. They just aren't the same thing -- particularly insofar as our security is concerned.
Second, there wasn't any way Saddam could threaten us with anything unless he had links to al Qaeda, which he didn't have, and the evidence that he did was bullshit at the time. Nevertheless, the Bush administration did everything in its power to link Saddam (erroneously) with al Qaeda, and as a result most Americans erroneously believed Saddam had culpability for 9/11. Without this there would have been no case for war.
Third, the administration's (erroneous) case that Saddam had an active nuclear program was bullshit. Aluminum tubes: bullshit. Yellowcake: bullshit. Like it did for all of its other bullshit claims, the Bush administration leaked bullshit about Saddam's (nonexistent) nuclear program to reporters like Judith Miller, who dutifully published it in places like the (liberal) New York Times. Then, when asked what the truth was on "news" shows like Meet the Press, assholes like Dick Cheney would say, "Well, I can't comment on confidential intelligence, but the New York Times has reported that . . ." Complete and utter bullshit ensued.
Fourth, the Bush administration misled us about both the likely cost of the war and, more importantly, about the number of troops that would be required to secure the peace -- because if we knew the truth about this we'd know that it would be impossible to secure the peace. The Bush administration fired those who tried to tell us the truth.
But most fundamentally, the Big Lie was that the Iraq War had anything to do with intelligence about Iraqi WMDs. If the Bush administration had been basing its decisions on the intelligence, it would never have invaded Iraq, because the intelligence community believed that an invasion would lead to pretty much exactly the disasters that ensued. The Bush administration settled on "WMDs" as a justification for a war that it had unjustifiably decided to fight while the rubble from the World Trade Center was still smoldering -- if not before. I don't know why the Bush administration decided to invade Iraq, but "WMDs" were just an agreed upon rationalization. If you're defending the Bush administration's decision on the basis of WMDs, you're a sap.
But the real problem for us today is that the Very Serious People think that the correct question is, "Based on what we know now, was the invasion of Iraq a mistake?" It is a testament to the stupidity of the Republican Presidential field that this is regarded as a difficult question. Analogous questions:
Based on what you know now, would you still:
(1) Sail on the Titanic?
(2) Attack the entire Lakota nation at Little Big Horn?
(3) Lead Pickett's charge?
(4) Greenlight "Manimal"?
(5) Watch "Lost" all the way to the end?
No. Obviously not.
For Presidential candidates, though, James Fallows explains what the correct question is here. The correct answer is that, based on what we knew at the time, people (like me) who supported the invasion were foolish.