I really hate to come off as cynical, but I see 2-2.
I do think we beat Southern Illinois going away.
Western Kentucky has a strong pass offense that could torch our new secondary. Gun to my head, we lose that game. Their offense is *fantastic*, and they're trained in winning shoot-outs.
I'm not confident in winning a game on the road, even against a weak Wake Forest team.
I don't think the FIU game is a shoe-in - their defense is actually really strong against the run, and forced a ton of turnovers last year. They actually could be pretty tough this year. Check out
Bill Connelly's prediction for more. They had a top 25 pass rush and top 20 defense on passing downs, both stats we were *terrible* in last year on our offense (even
before Sudfeld's injury).
I could see 3-1 if the cornerback situation shakes out better than we expect. If the defense is a tire fire (as it's been for a few years now), I could see 1-3.
You're wrong here. Western Kentucky would beat Purdue and Rutgers 8 times out of 10.