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The Chosen One’s demand to drop interest rates

Any more bs out of you about the Fed's Independence being threatened by PDJT?

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That’s a loaded question because the whole system is shit. As is…no. But all the pricing in healthcare is determined by a third party. Those third parties have artificially increased the price to the consumer.

And consumers have let them. Why?

Consumers are downright ruthless in keeping prices down. Why does WalMart exist? Why does Southwest Airlines exist? Why does Aldi exist?

These companies have thrived by figuring out ways to get people the things they want and need at low prices.

We’ve removed consumers from their normal place at the table in healthcare. Why should they care how much anything costs? For that matter, why should an incoming college student care how much college costs…relative to what their future earnings might be?

These are actually very similar problems.
 
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And consumers have let them. Why?

Consumers are downright ruthless in keeping prices down. Why does WalMart exist? Why does Southwest Airlines exist? Why does Aldi exist?

These companies have thrived by figuring out ways to get people the things they want and need at low prices.

We’ve removed consumers from their normal place at the table in healthcare. Why should they care how much anything costs? For that matter, why should an incoming college student care how much college costs…relative to what their future earnings might be?

These are actually very similar problems.
Consumers have let them under the guise of un affordability. Which isn’t true. They are told they need “insurance”. Well…without “insurance” those artificially increased costs are not there. What they need is very targeted catastrophic coverage. We also need a Medicaid program only ran by the states that covers roughly 1/3 of the population for the non-catastrophic events.

The costs to the consumer would plummet.
 
Consumers have let them under the guise of un affordability. Which isn’t true. They are told they need “insurance”. Well…without “insurance” those artificially increased costs are not there. What they need is very targeted catastrophic coverage. We also need a Medicaid program only ran by the states that covers roughly 1/3 of the population for the non-catastrophic events.

The costs to the consumer would plummet.
Affordability, yes. But the guiding principle is that healthcare is a right.

Except it can’t be a right. And that incongruence sits at the heart of not just our problems with healthcare, but everybody’s…very much including those who believe that right has been formally conferred.
 
Affordability, yes. But the guiding principle is that healthcare is a right.

Except it can’t be a right. And that incongruence sits at the heart of not just our problems with healthcare, but everybody’s…very much including those who believe that right has been formally conferred.
Let's all agree, you are correct. Was the issue myself and other's are talking about better or worse in 1990? 2000? 2020? Will it be worse in 2033?

How has the issue you're describing above changed over time?
 
Yeah, you got it backwards. They’re diverging because public sector is paying way less than market rate. What you are proposing would just accelerate the divergence. The private sector rate is the rate that is artificially high because they’re subsidizing the public artificial rate.
I agree with your 3rd party assignment. I guess I'm coming from a, "well, if we don't want to blow it all up" approach.

If you allow public reimbursement rates to climb at CPI-1, and you set private reimbursements at CPI-1.25, over time both cost curves would bend and start coming back together. Additionally, the % to gdp ratio would drop. Prices would continue to increase, but at lower rate of growth. We should have done it 20 years ago, and we wouldn't be discussing it now.

Let those rates run their course until you get to the desired % of gdp. Say 15%. Then peg the rates to cpi.

@snarlcakes
 
Let's all agree, you are correct. Was the issue myself and other's are talking about better or worse in 1990? 2000? 2020? Will it be worse in 2033?

How has the issue you're describing above changed over time?
Yes, it's worse today than it was in the past and will probably continue getting worse over time. I've said as much already.

What you're suggesting would likely just trade one problem for another one -- which is one form or another of tightened supply. That's because you don't address the core problem. Reimbursement rates exceeding CPI is a symptom of the problem.

You're assuming that everybody involved in the supply of healthcare goods and services would more or less continue operating as they have. And I think that's a flawed assumption.
 
Yes, it's worse today than it was in the past and will probably continue getting worse over time. I've said as much already.

What you're suggesting would likely just trade one problem for another one -- which is one form or another of tightened supply. That's because you don't address the core problem. Reimbursement rates exceeding CPI is a symptom of the problem.

You're assuming that everybody involved in the supply of healthcare goods and services would more or less continue operating as they have. And I think that's a flawed assumption.
"I agree with your 3rd party assignment. I guess I'm coming from a, "well, if we don't want to blow it all up" approach.

If you allow public reimbursement rates to climb at CPI-1, and you set private reimbursements at CPI-1.25, over time both cost curves would bend and start coming back together. Additionally, the % to gdp ratio would drop. Prices would continue to increase, but at lower rate of growth. We should have done it 20 years ago, and we wouldn't be discussing it now.

Let those rates run their course until you get to the desired % of gdp. Say 15%. Then peg the rates to cpi."

How does it make the problem worse? Specifically.

What is your specific proposal?
 
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"I agree with your 3rd party assignment. I guess I'm coming from a, "well, if we don't want to blow it all up" approach.

If you allow public reimbursement rates to climb at CPI-1, and you set private reimbursements at CPI-1.25, over time both cost curves would bend and start coming back together. Additionally, the % to gdp ratio would drop. Prices would continue to increase, but at lower rate of growth. We should have done it 20 years ago, and we wouldn't be discussing it now.

Let those rates run their course until you get to the desired % of gdp. Say 15%. Then peg the rates to cpi."

How does it make the problem worse? Specifically.

What is your specific proposal?

Because scarcity is a real thing -- which is to say that there are more healthcare goods/services demanded than there is the supply to satisfy them -- what capping prices will do is redound to tightened supplies.

You've bristled at the idea that what you're proposing are price controls. But I don't know why. That's precisely what this is. Here, I'll just read you back your own words from above:

If you allow public reimbursement rates to climb at CPI-1, and you set private reimbursements at CPI-1.25

Who exactly is "you"? And what are they "allowing" and "setting"?

Everybody always thinks that their attempt at price controls will somehow be different. But they all fall prey to the same basic fault: they assume no (or minimal) changes on the supply side of the ledger.

What is your specific proposal?

I think we should make policies that are aimed at increasing out-of-pocket healthcare expenditures and reducing 3rd party payments. There's a reason that providers of elective procedures openly compete with one another, especially when they aren't utilizing any/many resources that are utilized by the insured marketplace. We should want to see providers competing with each other on price (and everything else).

Medical tourism offers us some big clues on this. If you want, say, a bariatric procedure done, you can get it for a third of the price elsewhere than you can here. And even the procedures here are far cheaper than comparable procedures that are covered by insurance.

Put the consumer in his rightful seat -- and we will see the kinds of market shifts we want to see. But we can't really do that until we give up on thwe idea that healthcare is a right. And I'm not sure that's possible at this point.

Do you notice that we never have to have these kinds of conversations ("What's your specific proposal?") for things we don't consider basic human rights? It's only for things like healthcare and education.
 
Because scarcity is a real thing -- which is to say that there are more healthcare goods/services demanded than there is the supply to satisfy them -- what capping prices will do is redound to tightened supplies.

You've bristled at the idea that what you're proposing are price controls. But I don't know why. That's precisely what this is. Here, I'll just read you back your own words from above:



Who exactly is "you"? And what are they "allowing" and "setting"?

Everybody always thinks that their attempt at price controls will somehow be different. But they all fall prey to the same basic fault: they assume no (or minimal) changes on the supply side of the ledger.



I think we should make policies that are aimed at increasing out-of-pocket healthcare expenditures and reducing 3rd party payments. There's a reason that providers of elective procedures openly compete with one another, especially when they aren't utilizing any/many resources that are utilized by the insured marketplace. We should want to see providers competing with each other on price (and everything else).

Medical tourism offers us some big clues on this. If you want, say, a bariatric procedure done, you can get it for a third of the price elsewhere than you can here. And even the procedures here are far cheaper than comparable procedures that are covered by insurance.

Put the consumer in his rightful seat -- and we will see the kinds of market shifts we want to see. But we can't really do that until we give up on thwe idea that healthcare is a right. And I'm not sure that's possible at this point.

Do you notice that we never have to have these kinds of conversations ("What's your specific proposal?") for things we don't consider basic human rights? It's only for things like healthcare and education.
Did you ever address @twenty02 claim about doctor quotas?

If my idea is price control, how would you describe what we have now? I'm simply using the same formulas that are currently being used.

Edit: Which by the way, is a problem. That is going to be addressed one way or another.
 
Did you ever address @twenty02 claim about doctor quotas?

I haven't. But it's yet another example of government intervention giving us perverted results.

It's a bad thing -- don't get me wrong. But it's not our primary culprit. Supply has been filling in those gaps with foreign physicians and APPs.

Still, if what you're arguing is that we should get lawmakers out of trying to manage the healthcare marketplace with moves like this, I heartily agree.
 
If my idea is price control, how would you describe what we have now? I'm simply using the same formulas that are currently being used.

There absolutely is an element of price control in our current system. And it's caused all kinds of problems. We should get away from it.

You asking me this question is like me saying to you "Don't pour that kerosene on the fire. It will make a bigger fire." And you answering me by saying "Why are you defending the fire?"

I'm not defending the fire. The healthcare system we have is a Frankenstein's monster, put together over many decades of misguided healthcare policy.....pretty much all of which has been furthering the search of that elusive goddam unicorn.
 
I haven't. But it's yet another example of government intervention giving us perverted results.

It's a bad thing -- don't get me wrong. But it's not our primary culprit. Supply has been filling in those gaps with foreign physicians and APPs.

Still, if what you're arguing is that we should get lawmakers out of trying to manage the healthcare marketplace with moves like this, I heartily agree.
And I have agreed third parties are the ultimately culprit. But if you can’t convince CMS and Congress to quit giving providers unnecessary and unsustainable raises. If you can't convince them to bend the cost curve that's artificially high, how are you going to convince them to eliminate the health insurance industry, Medicaid, and Medicare?
 
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There absolutely is an element of price control in our current system. And it's caused all kinds of problems. We should get away from it.

You asking me this question is like me saying to you "Don't pour that kerosene on the fire. It will make a bigger fire." And you answering me by saying "Why are you defending the fire?"

I'm not defending the fire. The healthcare system we have is a Frankenstein's monster, put together over many decades of misguided healthcare policy.....pretty much all of which has been furthering the search of that elusive goddam unicorn.
It's not like that at all.

And in my defense, I made a claim that there was a problem with the way the FFS schedules were calculated and you told me I was wrong before you knew how they were calculated. And you've proven post after post that you aren't grasping the concept. Spartans and twenty have. Maybe the y can help? I'm done trying.
 
And I have agreed third parties are the ultimately culprit. But if you can’t convince CMS and Congress to quit giving providers unnecessary and unsustainable raises. If you can't convince them to bend the cost curve that's artificially high, how are you going to convince them to eliminate the health insurance industry, Medicaid, and Medicare?

Have I ever given you any indication that I'm hopeful?

But the problem isn't them, it's us. Politicians are ultimately only interested in the preservation of their offices and power. So they tell people what they want to hear. And what do they want to hear? That if you elect them, they'll make sure we all have ready access to high quality affordable healthcare. In other words: I have the unicorn...don't believe those people who say he doesn't exist.

Yes, it's cynical. I have to imagine most of these people are smart enough to know they're peddling a fantasy. But whether they do or don't, they're still peddling it. And we continue to demand it. And on and on the cycle goes....despite never quite catching up to the unicorn. Maybe next session...vote for me again and we'll keep trying.

And where has this gotten us?
 
It's not like that at all.

And in my defense, I made a claim that there was a problem with the way the FFS schedules were calculated and you told me I was wrong before you knew how they were calculated. And you've proven post after post that you aren't grasping the concept. Spartans and twenty have. Maybe the y can help? I'm done trying.

It's not exactly rocket science, Digressions.

And the problem with price controls isn't the algorithm. It's that people can and do react -- usually in ways the price controllers don't intend or even anticipate.

But these efforts have failed to produce the intended results going at least all the way back to Diocletian:

Edictum de Pretiis Rerum Venalium, "Edict Concerning the Sale Price of Goods"
 
There absolutely is an element of price control in our current system. And it's caused all kinds of problems. We should get away from it.

And that's feasible how? Half of all health care expenditures are paid by the govt. Unless you plan to eliminate Medicare and Medicaid, how do you propose the govt operate pricing?
 
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It's not exactly rocket science, Digressions.

And the problem with price controls isn't the algorithm. It's that people can and do react -- usually in ways the price controllers don't intend or even anticipate.

But these efforts have failed to produce the intended results going at least all the way back to Diocletian:

Edictum de Pretiis Rerum Venalium, "Edict Concerning the Sale Price of Goods"

Speaking of Diocletian's Edict, @snarlcakes you won't be surprised to learn that the primary impetus behind its issuance was the debasement of Roman Denarius. A succession of Roman emperors needed more money for more armies. I'll give you one guess as to how they got the money to pay for these.

There's a pretty good infographic on what led up to this here.

Mark Twain never actually said "History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes." But he should have!
 
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And that's feasible how? Half of all health care expenditures are paid by the govt. Unless you plan to eliminate Medicare and Medicaid, how do you propose the govt operate pricing?

The best ways to fix the problem aren't politically feasible. I agree with you. It's not even worth suggesting them -- they would even sound far-fetched to people who more or less concede that I'm not wrong about the core problem.

As such, I usually point to Singapore as the place to look for the best ideas. I think they've done a better job than virtually anybody else at establishing a workable balance between these competing forces.

Doing something like this would basically replace Medicaid. Low income people use HSAs to pay for the vast majority of their healthcare transactions, just like everybody else. The only difference is that their accounts are subsidized.

I know a lot of people say a plan like that isn't workable in the US. But I don't really know why they'd say that. Most of the complex parts are offloaded to where they most belong: between consumers and providers.

Also, I'd be remiss if I didn't mention that I think AI will likely have a bigger positive impact on healthcare than any other single sector of our economy.
 
But the problem isn't them, it's us. Politicians are ultimately only interested in the preservation of their offices and power. So they tell people what they want to hear. And what do they want to hear? That if you elect them, they'll make sure we all have ready access to high quality affordable healthcare. In other words: I have the unicorn...don't believe those people who say he doesn't exist.
You forgot the ones that bitch incessantly about the debt, but don't have the balls to tell doctors and insurance companies, No. And their supporters who incessantly bitch about the debt, and don’t have the economic chops or reading capacity to know what could be done.

Do nothing and blame others.

Good day.
 
Only someone with the IQ of Rashida Tlaib would advocate that political parties should have control of such an institution.
Never advocated for political control. The whinging about the so-called independence of the Fed Reserve/Central Bank was debunked and pointed out in my post, with sources. You chose to respond with smarmy, adolescent memes...which seems to be the prevailing trend on this board.
 
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Never advocated for political control. Your whinging about the so-called independence of the Fed Reserve/Central Bank was debunked and pointed out in my post, with sources. You chose to respond with smarmy, adolescent memes...which seems to be the prevailing trend on this board.

You are literally supporting someone that is intending to push his positions and beliefs, regardless of economics. And now you care about academic studies? If you want to post the links, I’ll read them.
 
You forgot the ones that bitch incessantly about the debt, but don't have the balls to tell doctors and insurance companies, No. And their supporters who incessantly bitch about the debt, and don’t have the economic chops or reading capacity to know what could be done.

Do nothing and blame others.

Good day.

You have to understand that the vast amounts of money flowing into doctors and insurance companies is a *symptom* of our flawed system, not a cause of it.

The problem with college tuitions is remarkably similar -- as has been the divergence between higher education costs and CPI.

What do these two things have in common? Why these two....and not anything else that we buy?

When you take out a mortgage, what are the two things a lender is going to be most concerned with? First (and foremost) is your wherewithal to afford the payments. They not only want to know your income, they want to have an idea about the stability of that income and your debt load relative to both your assets and your income. Second, they want to know that the price of the property is somewhere near market value.

We don't do either of these when closing a student loan. There's no relationship between the value of the loan and the value of the degree it's being used to purchase.

Why? Well I'd argue that it's because, like healthcare, we've come to view education as something of a right. And this, too, has led to massive amounts of money flowing to colleges and universities along with a massive pile of uncollectible debt.

It's uncollectible because the education that the funds were used to pay for doesn't carry commensurate value to the person who received it. One huge difference is that a house can be foreclosed on to help satisfy much of the debt. That can't happen with education. There's nothing to recover.
 
You are literally supporting someone that is intending to push his positions and beliefs, regardless of economics. And now you care about academic studies? If you want to post the links, I’ll read them.
I don't care if you read them or not.
I told you where to look.

Your 'regardless of economics' conceit is part of the arrogant drivel which passes for knowledge leading to our current $36 Trillion debt.

You need some new 'economics'.

Your old ones haven't worked too well for a large part of American society.
 
I have an issue with it because it's something that we all have to pay for. CEO comp is rather meaningless. If a Walmart CEO gets paid $100k or $50m it is more or less irrelevant to what the costs are in the store. It's such a small amount of people at the top it doesn't matter to the consumer. Plus it's all extremely competitive with basically no barriers of entry (not that medical specialists aren't competitive slots, they are, but only artificially created).

But vs Drs, where its a proven data point that why we all pay so much more is due to how highly compensated our Drs are vs the rest of the world.... And it's heavily gatekept and rent seeked via govt and interest groups.

People get into the medical field today to make money. It was never that way before. My grandfather was a country doctor and a farmer as doctoring was a respected job, but wasn't lucrative. People did it at they had a calling. Now it's a way to guarantee wealth, particularly as a specialist.

My buddy's wife is planning to work 15 years. They have it all planned out. It's get in, max earnings, live basic, then be done by late 40s and go do what they actually like doing with life. I can't blame them, as those are the incentives setup for them. But all I can think is what a wasteful system to train someone for that many years just so they can go cash out ASAP.

And we all have to pay for that waste, we don't really get to choose to just not shop at Walmart (or go to a NBA game) because their costs are too high.
there are far better ways to become rich these days than "doctoring"


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While I get your point and know that it’s tongue in cheek, I don’t think I’d want to entrust my health to any doctor only making $175k these days.
175K fits the meme but you might be surprised

the avg. family practice doc doesn't make a whole lot more than that ( 225, 250?)

not to mention getting started late, saddled with debt and being married to the job, etc.
 
175K fits the meme but you might be surprised

the avg. family practice doc doesn't make a whole lot more than that ( 225, 250?)

not to mention getting started late, saddled with debt and being married to the job, etc.

Makes you wonder why you'd expend all that time, effort, and expense to be a GP. If you've devoted that much to it, why not get a specialty?

Not that money is the only motivator, or even necessarily the strongest one. I get that. And everybody's different. I'm just saying that, had I gone that direction, I'm pretty sure I'd have settled on some kind of specialty.
 
Makes you wonder why you'd expend all that time, effort, and expense to be a GP. If you've devoted that much to it, why not get a specialty?

Not that money is the only motivator, or even necessarily the strongest one. I get that. And everybody's different. I'm just saying that, had I gone that direction, I'm pretty sure I'd have settled on some kind of specialty.
that's a good point

though even more school/ later start, debt, responsibility, on call/job marriage......

money isn't everything

i'd guess not many are on their deathbed wishing they had worked more
 
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