for those who don't following betting, that is a major move. can't believe the center going out caused that. a ton of money must have came in on Indiana, early in the season when we were favored at UCLA I was surprised, this drop is more surprising and a good sign.
spread dropped to 10
- Thread starter kurt cloverdales
- Start date
The line didn’t move within 24 hours of the injury. This is something else. Hmm…
Late line moves can signify "shark" money, often does. If that's the case, they probably see what the numbers should be telling everyone...IU is really, really damn good against the spread this year. And IU being a 14 point underdog, to anyone, is a head scratcher.
Exactly and the serious $ is just now evaluating their moves. I don't care if the D is comprised of talent from the Bucks, Dawgs and PSU because the offensive execution of IU is a major hurdle to get over. Gonna be a riot watching OSU fans puking in every county in the Buckeye. I'm buying some extra Heineken!
We haven't seen anything like what we're going to Saturday. The Mich 2nd half concerned a lot of people
Simplest explanation is usually the best.
Probably a case where too much money was on Indiana under the previous spread, so the bookies wanted to attract more money to the OSU side of the wager by making future IU bets less attractive.
Bookies are happy if half the bets are for each team -- they use the losing bets to pay the winners and take their cut out of the .5 number in the middle.
Michigan 2nd half was the best thing that happened to this team. A bit of a reality check and an opportunity out for the coaches to see what schemes they need to do a better job attacking.
I'm surprised it's gone down this much. It was up to 13.5 at one point on some sites. It's at 10.5 on FanDuel now. Stats show over 65% of the bets for both IU to cover and for IU on the ML. Both dropped overnight, but the spread has moved more than the ML. I like to wait to place my bets usually, but I'm regretting not placing mine for Sat when the spread was at 13.5 on Wed. I still think we win and I will be doing a double dip attempt by betting both the spread and the ML. If we win then I double dip, but if we lose and cover I break even.
It wasn't so much scUM that 2nd half as it was 2 dropped passes that are normally caught. Catch the 3 that were dropped and that 2nd half is different. I still feel like I did two weeks ago or longer ... IU wins this game.
when you go from 14 to 10 bookies have their asses exposed
I'm actually a little taken back that this is our first game of the season that Indiana isn't the favorite.
Seriously? Outside of OSU's reshuffled and injury decimated OL (very thin right now), the rest of their roster is loaded with NFL talent. But my guess is that dipshit Ryan Day and his bozo coaching staff will find a way to screw it up.
I read an article on ESPN a few weeks back, that if everybody at OSU declares for the NFL draft in 2025 that's expected to, they could break the all-time record for 15 in one draft - I believe by Georgia a few years ago.
And those Georgia fans seem to forget they are playing UMASS tomorrow. The should help their SOS so near the playoffs. 😂
I know nothing about betting. If I place a bet on IU when it's -13, do I get that spread? If it drops to -10, is my bet at -13 or -10?
You get the spread at the time you made your bet.
Are they just now baking the center's season ending injury into the recipe? Wow......
I don't think that's it. I think the spread was higher to draw in more suckers.....er, bettors.
When serious people looked at it, -13.5 was ridiculous, based on games vs common opponents. -10 isn't much better.
Last edited:
Depends on who you bet with. Some give the option for it to move with the change. I don’t pick that option.
Betting action is driving the move. Maybe you're referring to bettors? And I think there probably is some Joe Public movement that's happening gradually from the Center injury. But no, sharks know about those things literally the minute they happen. They would have jumped at the 14 point spread immediately if that were it. This late movement likely points to the sharks thinking the line is out of line too high...AND there's likely something we don't know about going on that should benefit IU's chances. Its too sharp and big a swing, for there not to have been some sort of event...I would think. And again, if that event were the C injury, the movement would have been immediate when it happened.
I remember an IU bball game a few years back against Wisconsin at home. Maybe Romeo's year? Anyway, Wisconsin was one of the best teams in the country, and we were average. The line dropped dramatically the last day or two before the game, all the way down to I think an even line maybe. No one really knew why at the time. Ended up that Wisconsin was battling a nasty round of flu virus, and many of their players were impacted by it. We upset them.
These late swings always raise my eyebrows a little bit. Hope it bodes well for IU!
This is correct. When the spread hit a certain number, sharps pounced and laid big bets. The books reacted by dropping the line. You could see the line move back up if sharps find value with OSU at -10. The 4 point gap is a pretty big middle opportunity too.
