The bubble is so weak this year...that I'd bet a lot of money that the "eye test" will play a bigger role than normal.
I bet Memphis not only gets in, but has a 9-10 seed instead of the 12 playin type seed that their resume warrants. Because of how dominant they've looked recently.
For us...
A very competitive, close loss to Purdue, and then a win over MSU...would get us serious consideration.
Whereas a blowout loss to Purdue, and a win over MSU would get us less consideration.
Conversely, a win over Purdue, and a close loss to MSU...and I'd guess strongly that we're in.
A win over Purdue, and a blowout loss to MSU...and we'd be in serious Jeopardy.
The eye test is impossible to ingore when they'll be comparing us with a handful of other teams with similar mediocre resumes.