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Politico: Roe to be overturned per draft opinion

Alito says they should not change based on the reasoning in Dobbs. Alito repeatedly mentioned that since dead babies are involved, (my words, not his) abortion is different than those other cases.

But those guys can cite to whatever they want. If someone wants to cite it for that proposition later, there is nothing stopping them. Hell, Alito cites his own dissenting opinions, and those of Thomas, Gorsuch, Kavanaugh, ACB, Scalia, and Rehnquist many times during the opinion. Dissents aren't authority, but that didn't stop him here,
There's nothing wrong with citing to dissents. He's not saying they are binding authority.

Alito is arguing this decision won't be binding precedent in those other areas. That's a different matter. Can people later argue that he's wrong? Sure. Will other judges follow that reasoning when the author of the opinion (and any others who sign onto it) says not to? Doubtful. Not certain, but doubtful.
I don't mind any method including originalism as part of a stew of decision making. To take it modern politics, neither conservatives or liberals are always right/always yield best results. I am a Methodist, I will never say Methodists are always right on God's Word. I love the work Einstein did, Relativity has holes. I like man-to-man defense but there are times zone makes sense. Few times in life is there a single answer for all occasions.
Garry Wills is a historian who has an excellent article on the Gettysburg Address. Excerpted from it:

  • [Lincoln] not only presented the Declaration of Independence in a new light, as a matter of founding law, but put its central proposition, equality, in a newly favored position as a principle of the Constitution … What had been mere theory in the writings of James Wilson, Joseph Story, and Daniel Webster—that the nation preceded the states, in time and importance—now became a lived reality of the American tradition. The results of this were seen almost at once. Up to the Civil War “the United States” was invariably a plural noun: “The United States are a free country.” After Gettysburg it became a singular: “The United States is a free country.” This was a result of the whole mode of thinking that Lincoln expressed in his acts as well as his words, making union not a mystical hope but a constitutional reality. When, at the end of the address, he referred to government “of the people, by the people, for the people,” he was not, like Theodore Parker, just praising popular government as a Transcendentalist’s ideal. Rather, like Webster, he was saying that America was a people accepting as its great assignment what was addressed in the Declaration. This people was “conceived” in 1776, was “brought forth” as an entity whose birth was datable (“four score and seven years” before) and placeable (“on this continent”), and was capable of receiving a “new birth of freedom
Many events have changed America and it's thinking. None more than the Civil War but it is hardly alone. I find it absurd to think the only solution to resolving disputes is, "What did White property owners think in 1887". We fought that horrible war because too many insisted on exactly that thinking. America was done with slavery but not done enough to have a hope of amending the Constitution because of the math that rewards small states over large.

Any thinking of "what does this singular world view tell me to do" is inherently doomed to fail just as marrying cousins is doomed compared to diverse genetics.

But to stick to guns, several states and areas had fun control laws when the document was ratified. It was illegal in Boston to store a gun loaded. In most other states all men had to register as part of the militia and report, with weapon, for call out drills. Isn't that firearm registration? Some states did not allow open carry. Kentucky and Louisiana banned concealed carry in 1813, a lot of founding fathers were still alive. How should that fit into a concealed carry debate?

Plus we had no real public opinion polls. How do we know what a majority really felt? Most Americans were barely literate and left no written record, do they not matter at all? Should we consider what slaves and Native Americans thought?

There is a lot to discuss here. I agree with 90% of what you write. I’d just say I think you misstate the issue for an originalist by saying they just want to follow what slave owning white men thought in 1800. That’s not quite right.

Re one way to do things, I tend to agree but probably not for the same reasons. I think each form of interpretation actually blends into the others. But on the issue of not thinking there is just one right way, I think you’re mixing and matching disciplines in your examples. To make the best case for an originalist, I think they’d say that legal thinking is it’s own discipline that has its own best, preferred method and they’d try to analogize to the scientific method for answering science questions: would you allow for other methods in that discipline? (Alchemy, intuitionism, religious thinking, etc?)
 
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Those evil women trapping men. Lol. If he doesn’t want a child he should take measures to assure that doesn’t happen. You’ve heard of condoms perhaps?
Cool. So why can't women take those same precautions? I agree with you with what men should do and women should take their precautions. And abortion should be mostly illegal. And people who are not ready for children or do not want children should do the things they need to do to not get pregnant.

If they do, put the guy on the hook to take care of the child and make the penalty for failure to do so harsh. You roll this stupid argument out everytime this topic comes up.
 
It should bother anyone if they realize that babies who can live outside the womb are being aborted in the most brutal fashion. And they do feel pain.

It should bother anyone that the majority of aborted babies are black babies.

It should bother anyone that abortion is being used as birth control when there are so many other options available.

It should bother anyone who considers themselves a civilized human being.
I understand why people shouldn’t have abortions (and agree with you). I’m speaking from a voting point of view. I disagree that overturning Roe is a top voting issue for most liberals and conservatives. It would hurt Republicans in the the mid term’s some, but not much after that, IMO.
 
Do you know condoms don't always work?

Hopefully you don't teach sex ed.

Women trap men all the time by getting pregnant. Where planet are you on?
Condoms are 98% effective. Nice try, Jethro. How exactly do women force men to have sex?
 
Those evil women trapping men. Lol. If he doesn’t want a child he should take measures to assure that doesn’t happen. You’ve heard of condoms perhaps?
So do you hate all men, or just actual men vs ones you can intimidate?
 
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Cool. So why can't women take those same precautions? I agree with you with what men should do and women should take their precautions. And abortion should be mostly illegal. And people who are not ready for children or do not want children should do the things they need to do to not get pregnant.

If they do, put the guy on the hook to take care of the child and make the penalty for failure to do so harsh. You roll this stupid argument out everytime this topic comes up.
And you roll out your same stupid arguments exactly the same every time also. Too bad life is messy and mistakes are made. I know you think abortions should be legal. I promise no one will force you, or anyone else for that matter to have one.
 
I’d just say I think you misstate the issue for an originalist by saying they just want to follow what slave owning white men thought in 1800. That’s not quite right.
How far off is it? If we look at what the Founders thought, who else would they consider? Very few Blacks, women, Natives left records of what they considered wording of the Constitution to mean.
 
And you roll out your same stupid arguments exactly the same every time also. Too bad life is messy and mistakes are made. I know you think abortions should be legal. I promise no one will force you, or anyone else for that matter to have one.
Yeah, mistakes happen. Don't usually think it is a good idea to kill someone when it does.

I saw your comment up above about "whatever gets the job done". You're a ghoul. And you don't speak for women.
 
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They seem rational.



Crazy eyes. They always have the crazy eyes.
Oh it’s just getting started. Just wait. I know some of you want to MAGA by sending women back decades. Wouldn’t it be nice if women weren’t allowed to vote? I swear this is probably the 100th thread on abortion on this site in the last 5 years, where 99.5 percent of men think they have all the answers and should be able to make laws about what women can do with their bodies. The fact that no one sees the irony … kind of like the Blacks for Trump rally with white guts wearing the shirts. But bloviate on….
 
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Oh it’s just getting started. Just wait. I know some of you want to MAGA by sending women back decades. Wouldn’t it be nice if women weren’t allowed to vote? I swear this is probably the 100th thread on abortion on this site in the last 5 years, where 99.5 percent of men think they have all the answers and should be able to make laws about what women can do with their bodies. The fact that no one sees the irony … kind of like the Blacks for Trump rally with white guts wearing the shirts. But bloviate on….
You don't sound like a man-hater at all.
 
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Yeah, mistakes happen. Don't usually think it is a good idea to kill someone when it does.

I saw your comment up above about "whatever gets the job done". You're a ghoul. And you don't speak for women.
Where did I say I did? Yup I’m a ghoul for wanting basic health rights that women have fought for for nearly a century. Stop pretending you have the moral high ground here. You have no right to make decisions about anyone’s life but your own.
 
98%, hmmmm...... that's not 100%, is it Ellie May?

I guess you don't understand cipherin'.
I don’t know why I bother with you Jethro, but I think even you know 98% is a pretty big number.
 
You don't sound like a man-hater at all.
Why do you think Republicans are always upside down with women? It sure kinda seems like you hate them. Take away their rights and keep ‘‘em in the kitchen. I’m not a man hater, I’m a stupid hater.
 
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I don’t know why I bother with you Jethro, but I think even you know 98% is a pretty big number.
I said condoms aren't always effective. You come back with "98%" and prove my point.

And YOU call ME Jethro?
 
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Pubes almost had my vote, then they go and F it up like I figured they would.
 
How far off is it? If we look at what the Founders thought, who else would they consider? Very few Blacks, women, Natives left records of what they considered wording of the Constitution to mean.
It’s a contingent fact. It’s not baked into the theory. So when they interpret the 14th Amendment, they look at how people used the words they used in the 1860s. When they look at an amendment passed in the 2000s, they’d look at how we used those words now.

It’s not an issue of polling, it’s an issue of language and how that language was used at the time by the people ratifying ( so NOT the general populace, non citizens, or black slaves).

If you wanted to know what the law of the day was in Caesar’s time, would you poll the slaves or would you look at Roman written laws and try to figure out what the terms meant to them in their times? Or say well I’m going to use their words but apply current definitions and usage?
 
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Why do you think Republicans are always upside down with women? It sure kinda seems like you hate them. Take away their rights and keep ‘‘em in the kitchen.
I don't think they're "upside down with women". Women love Republicans!
 
Where did I say I did? Yup I’m a ghoul for wanting basic health rights that women have fought for for nearly a century. Stop pretending you have the moral high ground here. You have no right to make decisions about anyone’s life but your own.
Except vaccines, right?

Hypocrisy much?
 
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There's nothing wrong with citing to dissents. He's not saying they are binding authority.

Alito is arguing this decision won't be binding precedent in those other areas. That's a different matter. Can people later argue that he's wrong? Sure. Will other judges follow that reasoning when the author of the opinion (and any others who sign onto it) says not to? Doubtful. Not certain, but doubtful.

There is a lot to discuss here. I agree with 90% of what you write. I’d just say I think you misstate the issue for an originalist by saying they just want to follow what slave owning white men thought in 1800. That’s not quite right.

Re one way to do things, I tend to agree but probably not for the same reasons. I think each form of interpretation actually blends into the others. But on the issue of not thinking there is just one right way, I think you’re mixing and matching disciplines in your examples. To make the best case for an originalist, I think they’d say that legal thinking is it’s own discipline that has its own best, preferred method and they’d try to analogize to the scientific method for answering science questions: would you allow for other methods in that discipline? (Alchemy, intuitionism, religious thinking, etc?)
I wouldn't say there's nothing wrong with it. But I'm not here to argue about it. I get paid to argue. I've decided to stop giving the milk away for free on the internet, which is why you've probably never seen me on the WC before, and may not again.
 
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Yep, I was skimming the numbers and got it wrong, but 1 percent of the number isn't insignificant to the terminated lives. The real point is that few of those are being done to save the live or health of the mother or because the baby is unhealthy. Also since the number is relatively small, why do the Democrats always vote against banning those abortions?

Where do you get that information? Everything I've seen suggests late term abortions are almost entirely done for medical reasons.
 
Why do you think Republicans are always upside down with women? It sure kinda seems like you hate them. Take away their rights and keep ‘‘em in the kitchen. I’m not a man hater, I’m a stupid hater.
"I’m a stupid hater"

Self hate can be destructive. You should seek help.
 
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JDB, not having been exposed to socioeconomics, such as say Critical Race Theory, during my college years I am at a loss in responding to your post.

What? That seems like a cop out hoot. You don't need to be exposed to CRT or anything else to have a common sensical view.

Race doesn't have to be part of the equation if you just view things in terms of numbers and figures. If the poorest 1/3 of the population is having a growing disproportionate amount of kids, is that sustainable and healthy for society? How about one that is increasingly dependent on social welfare (SS, healthcare, etc.)?
 
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It’s a contingent fact. It’s not baked into the theory. So when they interpret the 14th Amendment, they look at how people used the words they used in the 1860s. When they look at an amendment passed in the 200s, they’d look at how we used those words now.

It’s not an issue of polling, it’s an issue of language and how that language was used at the time by the people ratifying ( so NOT the general populace, non citizens, or black slaves).

If you wanted to know what the law of the day was in Caesar’s time, would you poll the slaves or would you look at Roman written laws and try to figure out what the terms meant to them in their times? Or say well I’m going to use their words but apply current definitions and usage?

So you believe the words of the elite mean exactly the same as the common? Look at our world today, there is no chance one can find a lot of agreement on what our words mean. What does "collusion" mean? "Voting irregularities"?

Further, do we require justices to have linguistic degrees?

At the signing, no state had felony disenfranchisement laws. KY added such a law in 1792. So, when we look at the Constitution where do we decide the language of the time allows felons to lose their vote, the right to serve juries, or the right to own guns? If no state had such laws then there is no way the founders intended it without specifically saying so. Can anyone provide where in the Constitution felon disenfranchisement is allowed? Yet I doubt this court is going to demand felons get the vote, or gun ownership? Maybe they will surprise me.

 
Just when I start to take you seriously as a poster, you come up with this kind of garbage.

I just can't help but laugh at you as a 4 year old knowing all about sex..... was it your neighbor you were playing around with, or your sister?

I don't care, but curiosity is a pain in the ass.
Please don’t take me seriously as a poster. i’m here primarily for fun and I like to make off-the-wall jokes.
 
I linked it.

Yea I read the underlying report that it sources and it's not a good look for pro choicers. So I'd be fine capping the limit at 21 weeks.

Most women seeking later abortion fit at least one of five profiles: They were raising children alone, were depressed or using illicit substances, were in conflict with a male partner or experiencing domestic violence, had trouble deciding and then had access problems, or were young and nulliparous.
 
So you believe the words of the elite mean exactly the same as the common? Look at our world today, there is no chance one can find a lot of agreement on what our words mean. What does "collusion" mean? "Voting irregularities"?

Further, do we require justices to have linguistic degrees?

At the signing, no state had felony disenfranchisement laws. KY added such a law in 1792. So, when we look at the Constitution where do we decide the language of the time allows felons to lose their vote, the right to serve juries, or the right to own guns? If no state had such laws then there is no way the founders intended it without specifically saying so. Can anyone provide where in the Constitution felon disenfranchisement is allowed? Yet I doubt this court is going to demand felons get the vote, or gun ownership? Maybe they will surprise me.

There are problems with originalism. It can’t answer all questions. Sometimes we don’t know enough history. I think an originalist who can’t find a satisfactory originalist answer would fall back on other methods.

But I think you are exaggerating the indeterminacy of language quite a bit. And yes, many originalists focus on language and history (Bobbitt at one point referred to their position as historicism, I think).

I’m making their best argument here, Marv, not buying into it hook, line, and sinker. I think their underlying rationale a very strong one but agree that sometimes it’s just too difficult to get good answers from it.
 
There are problems with originalism. It can’t answer all questions. Sometimes we don’t know enough history. I think an originalist who can’t find a satisfactory originalist answer would fall back on other methods.

But I think you are exaggerating the indeterminacy of language quite a bit. And yes, many originalists focus on language and history (Bobbitt at one point referred to their position as historicism, I think).

I’m making their best argument here, Marv, not buying into it hook, line, and sinker. I think their underlying rationale a very strong one but agree that sometimes it’s just too difficult to get good answers from it.
I need to read your recomended book. But overall I want someone who doesn't have just one tool.
 
I thought this would backfire on Repubs at midterms. It's like catnip for the lefty loons and a spotlight on them for normal people. It'll be a wash. Like a tennis match with these parties and their extremes
I think most Americans are tired of the histrionics of the left. Most people will figure out that the ruling in Dobbs will not end the right to abortion throughout the united States. The majority of states will adopt some version of the Roe trimester system. The key question will be: At what point in time does the unborn child's right to live supersede the woman's right to control her body?
It does seem that this leak was planned. The reaction of the Biden, the reaction of Schumer are very odd in that neither stated any concern of the damage the leak will do to the Supreme Court.
 
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