Yeah, Woody is going to put his scouting report in an interview. Take it easy.
IU-Wisconsin prediction.
- Thread starter fkfootball
- Start date
Lol what a terrible take. It may end up being and 11 or 12 point game, but you expecting Vegas to make that the line shows how much you know of the industry.
Feel free to take Wisconsin -11 on an alternate spread.
I don't see anyone predicting this to be a game in the 80s. I'm pulling for the good guys but you're final score wouldn't surprise me at all.
I actually don’t feel good about this one as a Badger fan. Teams with a really good, big post player usually give us fits. However, if Vogt/Crowl can stay out of foul trouble, I think UW wins. Figure 64-62 sounds about right.
Not really. You know what different programs do? Don't get off to a 14-4 deficit against farking Nebraska. Don't turn the ball over 155 times at Syracuse. Because that's exactly what this program has done for the last five years. This isn't a different program. It's a new coach with players who still have a lot of warts as well as a lot of talent.
I liked the fight they had in coming back in those games, but the mere fact of the matter is it shouldn't have had to be that hard.
IU is also shooting from outside extremely well right now. We haven’t for 3-4 years. We hit 8 or more a night at a 43-44% last 5 games.
Shooting well, yes, but considering the defenses IND played in those last five games are ranked 105 (NEB), 147 (SYR), 208 (MRSH), 116 (JKST) and 119 (ULL) in KenPom, that will be a much taller order trying to do that against WISC (who's 15th).
FTR, IND is 16th. Offense gives a slight edge to WISC (50 vs. 65). WISC has played better teams on balance though.
11-12? C'mon on man. These teams are almost dead even in just about every analytical measure to date and that's almost almost exclusively what Vegas odds are set at. Wisconsin is getting an additional 3-3.5 on home court advantage.
If you ever need a book, let me know. I'd take novice action any day.
Agree completely with you except the packline gives up the outside shot. That’s in our favor. We have the green light so expect us to shoot more than we have been. 36% or better is an advantage.
...by a large margin (NCSOS 283 vs 57). All of the last 6 UW games were against defenses in the top 90, including against #2 Houston and #8 St. Mary's. It's always a mystery to me how Kenpom can rank the adjusted defenses/offenses if you've played mostly inferior competition. I don't really trust them until teams have been truly tested.
But, this is why the games are played...
There's still a bit of last year in Pomeroy's ratings--usually takes until mid-January to flush it all out. Not to say that you can't take anything from it, but it is what it is.
Really going to go as we value the ball in this one. Not going to be enough possessions to come back if we turn it over too often. This one is tough to gauge. I say 61-57, good guys. But that’s me being optimistic
My daddies IU would blow the doors off of Wisconsin. Was that your point?
Wisconsin 72
Indiana 59
We'll be in foul trouble...they won't be.
We'll turn it over too much...they won't.
We'll give up open threes that they'll make...their defense gives up some open threes that we won't make enough of.
Probably the flow of the game will be somewhat closer than that. But they'll push it out a little at the end.
Indiana 59
We'll be in foul trouble...they won't be.
We'll turn it over too much...they won't.
We'll give up open threes that they'll make...their defense gives up some open threes that we won't make enough of.
Probably the flow of the game will be somewhat closer than that. But they'll push it out a little at the end.
It was a shock last year losing this game by sending it to OT, but I don’t have a good feeling with the way this team turns it over.
Wisconsin by 7.
Wisconsin by 7.
This game, while it might be competitive most of the time, will not be close in the end and UW will win by 10 or more, best case scenario maybe 8. I hope they make me eat my words. For what it’s worth, just for fun, I made a moneyline bet on IU that I fully expect to lose.
Amazing what happens when you don’t turn the ball over. Think the starters got the message after back to back sluggish starts.
Told ya all that we’d blow these suckers out! Wisconsin is going to finish in the bottom 1/3 of the league.
You stupid SOB. I’d say I told you so, but I already did…
Different programs also don't choke away 22-point leads. This is the Indiana we've known and hated since 1995.
Same old iu just a new coach and new year. Nothing else has changed.
To be fair, most of us would happily take what we had from 95-02 right now over what we’ve had since…
Sure, if happily take means making the NCAAs even when we don't really deserve to be there and being in no position to even get past the second game (if not the first game), then I guess, sure. Just sums up the program.
Did you think things were going to turn around on a dime? Really? If so, you’re dumber than dirt…
It all worked out! Little closer than I thought it would be, kind of a strange game.
No, but the hole Indiana has dug for itself is way too deep. There are at least six B1G programs with better current pedigrees than IND (PUR, MICH, ILL, MSU, WISC and OSU--not necessarily in that order). This just in--they ain't going away anytime soon either.
We're now looking at a potential six years without an NCAAT bid. And this isn't 1954, where making the NCAAs was a lot harder (because the NIT was more the glamour tournament).
Indiana can't even turn around on a silver dollar, let alone a dime.
Last edited:
