Did you have a pop up forcing you to confirm, for the second time, that you wanted to actually reply to me? Just curious.
Biden Gaffe
- Thread starter stollcpa
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According to analysis of hurricane data by the Associated Press, before this season, there were about 25 percent more rapidly intensifying storms in the Atlantic Ocean and Eastern Pacific over the last 10 years, as compared with any of the other three 10 year periods since 1982.
Rapid intensification was defined as measured wind speeds increasing by 35 mph or more in 24 hours or less.
Ian went from a high tropical stom (70 mph) to high cat 3 (155 mph) between Sunday morning at 8 AM and Tuesday morning at 8 AM.
It is the largest 48hr. rise in measured wind velocity ever measured by the NHC. Also the largest 24 hr. rise.
Hardly a "cherry picked" stat. Such rapid intensification makes prediction more difficult and reduces compliance with evacuation orders and time to execute evacuation. It is, in short, a very worrisome property.
Oddly, another factor for Ian was the lack of prior storms this year along a similar track, which would have churned up water columns and cooled water at the surface. So the blame is not all on climate change, which is increasing surface temperatures by an average of about 1C per century.
Science. It pays to think. Try it, COH.
Leading reference, of many. "How climate change is helping storms like Hurricane Ian intensify more rapidly - CBS News" https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/hurricane-ian-intensifying-rapidly-climate-change/#app.
Rapid intensification was defined as measured wind speeds increasing by 35 mph or more in 24 hours or less.
Ian went from a high tropical stom (70 mph) to high cat 3 (155 mph) between Sunday morning at 8 AM and Tuesday morning at 8 AM.
It is the largest 48hr. rise in measured wind velocity ever measured by the NHC. Also the largest 24 hr. rise.
Hardly a "cherry picked" stat. Such rapid intensification makes prediction more difficult and reduces compliance with evacuation orders and time to execute evacuation. It is, in short, a very worrisome property.
Oddly, another factor for Ian was the lack of prior storms this year along a similar track, which would have churned up water columns and cooled water at the surface. So the blame is not all on climate change, which is increasing surface temperatures by an average of about 1C per century.
Science. It pays to think. Try it, COH.
Leading reference, of many. "How climate change is helping storms like Hurricane Ian intensify more rapidly - CBS News" https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/hurricane-ian-intensifying-rapidly-climate-change/#app.
So far in 2022 we have 10 named storms, 2 major hurricanes. (Cat 3+). 80% Didn’t intensify at all let alone rapidly.
In 2021, we had 21 named storms and 4 major hurricanes. Don’t know intensification data for those 4, but once again around 80% didn’t intensify at all.
I can still recite my childhood phone number without any effort at all. But if someone asks me how old I am right now, I have to stop and do math.Yeah it's kinda funny... used to I could dial a number today and next year on the same date I could probably dial it again with over 90% accuracy without looking it up BUT you introduce me to a new person and tell me their name and 30 minutes later I probably can't tell you their name.
It's funny that you say that because several years ago I spent the whole year think I was age X but when my birthday came around I all of a sudden realize that I would be age X on this birthday.
Wow. I didn’t get to that point until much later in life.
I can still remember many phone numbers for attorneys from early in my career. Now with the phone app, I don’t even know the numbers for my kids whom I call several times a week. Ive read some stuff about how these kinds of devices and conveniences are contributing to cognitive deficits. Could be. Much of my memory is now on my phone instead of in my head.
It's funny that you say that because several years ago I spent the whole year think I was age X but when my birthday came around I all of a sudden realize that I would be age X on this birthday.
I did the same thing.
I was talking on the phone with my mom and she asked if I was excited to be turning 40 and I told her I was only going to be 39. My 16 year old spoke up and told me I was already 39 and was going to be 40, then if I did that again, she was going to put me in a old folks home.
I immediately grounded her.
Careful, she WILL get to choose your old folks home at some point.
Odds are I won't remember it, so I'm getting in my licks when I can.
I find that extremely hilarious. Well, the first sentence, because that's all I read. You are very consistent at posting nonsensical, unintelligible and worthless sh!t and it's not because of your party loyalty, it's because it's what you do.
I don't get it, at NO POINT have I suggested Biden doesn't have a problem, look at ALL THE FREAKING THREADS AND TELL ME WHEN I HAVE SAID HE DOESN'T DO IT. SEARCH FOR THEM.
I am just saying no one mistake can be "ah ha, this mistake is clearly a sign he has a problem". Every one of us makes mistakes, such as you suggesting I am somehow defending Biden which is either a flat-out lie or you have a mental issue because you won't find such a post.
I believe Biden has a problem. I don't know how severe. Neither do you. But we ALL misspeak. You do, I do. I even suspect CO has (his idea of using A/C systems to clear COVID out of human bodies would be an example).
The problem is not this, it is the pattern. That's all I am saying. But rather somehow people interpret this as defending Biden. Hell, I've long said I had a choice of TWO candidates with cognitive decline in the last election. That would certainly include Biden. I opposed Biden in the primary because I had concerns about his age. If you look back at the threads from the primary, you will find me saying we needed to find a non-Boomer to lead this country. Here is one example:
LT: Bloomberg planning 2020 run as Democrat
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/world/bloomberg-set-to-run-against-trump-in-2020-qvbfcrswg I have no idea what people like Noodle and Mark, et al., think of Bloomberg, but that's probably the demographic he's shooting at - disaffected moderates who want to vote Democrat, but don't want to...
indiana.forums.rivals.com
Here is another where I suggested a non-Boomer:
Mark me down in the 'Biden has already missed his window' camp...
I said mentioned as a candidate, not ran. People born when he last ran will be 32 on election day. My biggest complaint about Warren, Sanders, and Biden is they had their turn in the sun and look where we are. In a perfect world it is time to see if new blood can improve us. I read a book last...
indiana.forums.rivals.com
We need the torch passed to a new generation.
I started a thread on Yang's new party, Forward, and hope it catches on. I am far from beholden to the D party. Until the R's nominated Trump I often said that Ds were the worst group in America but then the Republicans said "hold my beer" in 2016. I would love to do away with parties, as Washington, Alexander Hamilton, and John Adams all feared parties. Rock would give me a hard time for not being in the reality-based community for wanting parties eliminated.
Heck, I disagree with Sasse on just about everything but I've touted him here more than anyone else has. I think he has the potential to be the next Reagan.
The study I mentioned focused on 40 years of data, >20 storms per year, >200 per decade, comparing decade by decade.
They are thus looking at the whole forest, while you are looking at one tree from a millimeter away, unable to recognize that it is even a tree.
Disclose.tv
@disclosetv
NOW - Biden says he ran to "restore the soul of America" and to "bring back some decency... the way we deal with one another."
I almost fell out of my chair laughing . Hitler Biden one of the most divisive nasty men in politics he cannot honestly believe what he just said or does he even know what he said. One has to wonder.
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anon_mya1phvcpf5x4
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Why has your side become obsessed with idiotic hyperbole? It makes your complaints a lot harder to take seriously.
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anon_mya1phvcpf5x4
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Probably because he is just following the lead of his idol, the one that is actually the most divisive nasty man in politics.
I understand all of that Marv. Also, no you didn't say that he DIDN'T have a problem but then again during that back and forth, you tap danced around saying that he DID have a problem like Savion Glover. The best I can recall, you saying in this post "I believe Biden has a problem", is the first time you've specifically said it. That is all I was saying.I don't get it, at NO POINT have I suggested Biden doesn't have a problem, look at ALL THE FREAKING THREADS AND TELL ME WHEN I HAVE SAID HE DOESN'T DO IT. SEARCH FOR THEM.
I am just saying no one mistake can be "ah ha, this mistake is clearly a sign he has a problem". Every one of us makes mistakes, such as you suggesting I am somehow defending Biden which is either a flat-out lie or you have a mental issue because you won't find such a post.
I believe Biden has a problem. I don't know how severe. Neither do you. But we ALL misspeak. You do, I do. I even suspect CO has (his idea of using A/C systems to clear COVID out of human bodies would be an example).
The problem is not this, it is the pattern. That's all I am saying. But rather somehow people interpret this as defending Biden. Hell, I've long said I had a choice of TWO candidates with cognitive decline in the last election. That would certainly include Biden. I opposed Biden in the primary because I had concerns about his age. If you look back at the threads from the primary, you will find me saying we needed to find a non-Boomer to lead this country. Here is one example:
LT: Bloomberg planning 2020 run as Democrat
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/world/bloomberg-set-to-run-against-trump-in-2020-qvbfcrswg I have no idea what people like Noodle and Mark, et al., think of Bloomberg, but that's probably the demographic he's shooting at - disaffected moderates who want to vote Democrat, but don't want to...
Here is another where I suggested a non-Boomer:
Mark me down in the 'Biden has already missed his window' camp...
I said mentioned as a candidate, not ran. People born when he last ran will be 32 on election day. My biggest complaint about Warren, Sanders, and Biden is they had their turn in the sun and look where we are. In a perfect world it is time to see if new blood can improve us. I read a book last...
We need the torch passed to a new generation.
And I did not attack you, I simply stated that you just couldn't admit it, as you tip toed right up to that line, just to pull back once again. I get it, that is our natural reaction as opponents. My biggest concern is that we shouldn't be opponents on this particular issue. None of us know who is actually running our White House, because it sure as hell isn't Biden. That should scare the hell out of us and emphasize that we have a Government that has achieved Self control out of our reach.
Once again, it's your dedication to hyperbole that ruins it. A reasonable person might say, "Man, Biden made a big gaffe there, I think he's losing a step." Instead, you jump straight to "It's obvious to everyone he's completely gone and the government is secretly being run by someone else." You sound like a raving lunatic, because your criticism meter only goes straight from Off to 10. You skip all the numbers in between where reasonable posters reside.
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anon_mya1phvcpf5x4
Guest
You should have stuck with the first part because you don't know who it is or who it isn't. The 2nd part is nothing more than your uninformed opinion.
Furthermore, I hate to break it to you but no president has done everything themselves. That is why they have these people called aides and they have these other people at the white house with jobs too that you know assist the president.
A lot of the job is surrounding yourself with intelligent people and being able to take their advice or their assistance. You know something the previous person had trouble with since all he wanted were "yes men"
The problem is that no Cabinet is going to remove a president unless the prez is in a completely vegetative state. Even then it would be tough.
I have concerns about Biden, I had concerns about Trump. But in neither case do I/did I expect something to be done.
We the People need to do better at selecting presidents. If we elect someone with mental health issues, should the cabinet override the election? I am not sure either did an effective job at hiding their issues so we purposely chose to ignore the issues.
God help us if 2024 is a repeat of 2020.
Huh? The study you mentioned focuses on one data point over 20 years. It really looks like a bootstrapping exercise to me.
There are dozens of metrics that go into what causes a tropical depression to become a major hurricaine. Your study looks at one data point that isn't even present in the vast majority of depressions.
Did Biden say; "Homelessness was a phenomenon that started two years ago"? Nah, that was Bone Spurs. Did Biden bring up the idea of nuking a hurricane to stop it before it hits land? Nah, that was Bone Spurs. Did Biden say the sound made by windmills causes cancer? Nah, that was Bone Spurs. Did Biden say George Washington protected our airports during the Revolutionary War? Nah, that was Bone Spurs.
~880 data points over 40 years.
Reading comprehension isn't your thing, is it?
I wrote: According to analysis of hurricane data by the Associated Press, before this season, there were about 25 percent more rapidly intensifying storms in the Atlantic Ocean and Eastern Pacific over the last 10 years, as compared with any of the other three 10 year periods since 1982.
so... 40 years of data, each year with between 12 and 35 named storms (average 22)
The study focuses on, therefore, ~880 data points over 40 years.
to summarize:
The hypothesis, based on 40 years of data, is that ocean warming is contributing to more rapid intensification of hurricanes, which has a negative effect on public safety.
The observation is that ocean waters are particularly warm right now.
The prediction, last weekend, was that Ian would rapidly intensify.
It did. To an extent unprecedented over the past 40 years.
This does NOT prove the hypothesis to be correct (no one added data point can) but it is in complete agreement with, and supportive of, the hypothesis.
One of the most important tests of any hypothesis of using it to make a prediction, not in hindsight, but with foresight. That happened here.
So much to admit, and unpack here. Much of what you say has been a big part of my self reflection lately. I am incapable of anything except 0, or 100mph. I blame this on 20 yrs of only being called when the house is on fire and then being demanded to provide relief. Asleep on moment, inside a burning house 6 minutes later. Ok so that's one thing. (and at this point, it's sadly obvious that I will never over come this. I rode out Ian in Keywest this week.... It bored me).
The second thing, that you all seem to be dicking around with. This ONE Biden thing has nothing to do with anything other than a thread starter. No one is looking at this one event in a vacuum, well except those that can not stop from defending Brandon.
All of those #'s in between have already happend, but some want to wallow in them so that they don't have to admit their choice is e'ffing every one of us. Honestly, I am not advocating for anything to "Happen" with Brandon, or Kamalalala, or Nancy or Chuckie... I want them exactly where they are. And put on the front page above the fold every day. But it would be nice for the "home owners" standing in the front yard with flames shooting 30' out of their roof to admit that their house is on fire.
I am not on any quest to remove Joe. He needs to be trotted out on the stage 3 times a day, every day, until 2024. He's the pres! Trot that show pony around everywhere!
Has America ever had concerns that their White house was being run from a shadow government inside of DC? OK you had concerns about trump. I doubt this was one of them. (And I didn't bring him up).
In the grand scheme of things. Can you tell me any human that would put themselves through the torture of running for Pres, doesn't have some mental BS going on. There's not enough money or power while on earth that would be worth it. There is zero chance that anyone has ever done it "for the people". EVER.
The idiot press secretary repeated that phrase several times...............good stuff.
She’ll soon be saying, on a regular basis, “Don’t believe your lying eyes or your lying ears.”
Have you tried to shake hands with the air lately?
The guy wouldn't be up to running a cash register at Wal-Mart.
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anon_mya1phvcpf5x4
Guest
Better than the constant denials.
I didn't know that person. She's not my type. I was going to fire that person anyway.
White House once again walks back Biden's promise to defend Taiwan, says there is no 'policy change'
President Biden was answering a hypothetical when he said the U.S. would deploy troops to defend Taiwan this week, the White House says, adding that U.S. policy hasn't changed.
3rd time they've walked Joe back on his Taiwan comments.
I’m starting to think it’s some sort of brain dead strategy of gamesmanship coming from the White House. Good cop, bad cop between POTUS and his staff. Keep the Chinese guessing.White House once again walks back Biden's promise to defend Taiwan, says there is no 'policy change'
President Biden was answering a hypothetical when he said the U.S. would deploy troops to defend Taiwan this week, the White House says, adding that U.S. policy hasn't changed.www.foxnews.com
3rd time they've walked Joe back on his Taiwan comments.
Well, that is how he stayed in congress all of those DECADES. We are talking, chess supreme master grifter move right here. clap
clap
clap
clap.
And we all pay for it. GO US!
I think Biden has issues, people I have known with such issues have good days and bad, good moments and bad. Largely I think he is making decisions.
If it follows patterns I have seen, if he is having a bad moment it largely falls to the last person he talks to before the decision.
I don't think we are close to Edith Wilson. I don't think Soros is secretly controlling. But I do suspect the Chief of Staff has more power than normal.
He's not governing via Twitter, so any bad impulses can be prevented from becoming actual policy.
Biden is old. Like many old people, he might be slipping a bit. But as you've already pointed out, what alternative were we given? Vote for a guy who is also old, and who had already demonstrated in practice that he was incapable of running the federal government? No thanks. "The devil I know" doesn't work when you're searching for competence.
If the Repubs really want us to vote for someone other than Biden, maybe they should spend less time complaining about Biden, and more time trying to nominate someone who would actually be an attractive choice.
I value competence and intelligence. I keep mentioning Sasse, I hate his politics but he seems to check those boxes. I don't doubt DeSantis' intelligence, I think his competence may run headlong into his love of owning the libs.
There are Republicans I could/would vote for over Biden, but there is virtually no chance they will be nominated, or even run.
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