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2025 Schedule

If we win out, we are in the CFP - no ifs, ands, or buts. My original post deals with the scenario that we go 11-1 losing to OSU. In that scenario, we would have no quality wins. Michigan had 2 top 10 wins last year in the regular season - we would have no top 30 wins under the scenario I posed. So I don't get how MIchigan's situation last year proves anything relative to the scenario I posed.
But there wasn’t a 12 team playoff either. Every single pundit and expert thinks IU is in with one loss. Will it be close? Of course.
 
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Michigan beat top 10 teams in OSU and PSU last year and demolished everyone else. It was a no-brainer that they were selected to the playoffs. If we win out, it will be a no-brainer that we make the playoffs. If not, our resume would not remotely compare to Michigan's of last year.
Michigan cheated last season until late in the season when they were mandated to suspend Harbaugh.
 
The way I see it, next year we likely won't be picked to finish last or next to last in B1G nor ranked in the back half of FBS either to begin the season. That means if we aren't ranked to begin with, we will be ranked much sooner than this year if we perform at a similar level. We would then have the opportunity to be in CFP discussions early on and stand a better chance of hanging in there even with a loss at Oregon or Penn State. So keep the cupcakes because we will be rebuilding to a degree and take advantage of all the things that have contributed to this year being so great. The way things are going, season ticket sales are through the roof and Kennesaw State might be a near sellout.
 
The way I see it, next year we likely won't be picked to finish last or next to last in B1G nor ranked in the back half of FBS either to begin the season. That means if we aren't ranked to begin with, we will be ranked much sooner than this year if we perform at a similar level. We would then have the opportunity to be in CFP discussions early on and stand a better chance of hanging in there even with a loss at Oregon or Penn State. So keep the cupcakes because we will be rebuilding to a degree and take advantage of all the things that have contributed to this year being so great. The way things are going, season ticket sales are through the roof and Kennesaw State might be a near sellout.
 
Unless we win out in the regular season this year, there is a reasonable chance that we will find ourselves on the outside looking in when it comes to the CFP. The argument against us will be that we simply would not have any good wins unless we beat O$U. We will see how it plays out, but to end up 11-1 and not get into the playoffs would be absolutely devastating. There is nothing we can do about this this year except keep winning (or hope that the committee values the decisiveness of our victories in the event that we do not win out).

However, Dolson needs to act immediately in order to prevent us from being in a similar situation next year. In my opinion our schedule next year is shaping up to be pretty weak as well. We do play Oregon and PSU on the road but don't have to play OSU or Michigan. The lesson to be learned from this year is that we cannot rely on the conference schedule alone to supply us with a difficult enough schedule to get into the CFP. Therefore, Dolson needs to look into beefing up our non-conference schedule. The lineup of Old Dominion, Kennesaw State and Indiana State is an absolute abomination. No hyperbole at all here - this may be one of the weakest non-conference schedules in the recent history of college football. We need to rid ourselves of the remnants of Tom Allen's Cupcake Shop ASAP.

Get to work, Scott! Our guys deserve better.

Well the 2024 and 2025 schedules were “get bowl eligible” schedules … not anticipating CCC’s wild success, this year. IU is starting a lot of fully grown men this year … there will be far fewer 6 and 7th year players next year. 4 conference home games in 2025 does not say play a non conference P4 team for pride’s sake.

Maybe we can stop scheduling FCS opponents … the SEC cupcakes are no better than ours they play G5 and FCS schools too. Sure we can take a made for TV matchup, the first game of future season. Didn’t need it so far this year.

Once upon a time IU lost to some of these P5 teams. Scheduling Big P5 Opponents cost Lee Corso wins that may have given IU winning seasons in 76 (Nebraska & NC State) and 77 (Nebraska). Over scheduling has risks.
 
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