I think IU will win impressively vs Louisville. The Cards can really struggle getting a bucket at times and our D has improved enough to allow the offense to take control. The two losses have been frustrating, but I still think Crean has a team that fits his style of play. Call me crazy, but I think this is a legit NCAA Title contender with normal improvement.
I follow Alford's teams closely as I'm a big fan of his as a coach. I like IU's chances better than UCLA's just because I think the Bruins are too limited defensively. I think Alford is doing some good things to limit the effect of their D, but it will catch up to them in March if not sooner. I've got $50 on them at 60-1, so hopefully they get Prince and Welsh back and really improve defensively.
I'd rather hang another banner in Assembly Hall than cash in on my bet anyway... at least this could be a really fun basketball season.