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Things to like about Rod Carey

MMcCormick

Sophomore
Dec 7, 2004
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Appears to be a strong recruiter. NIU finished in the top five in the conference in most of the years he was there. And here are where his offenses finished in the MAC in scoring. Trailed down a little bit as recruiting slipped late in his tenure as his coaches began to get picked off to other jobs.

2011 - 2nd
2012 - 1st
2013 - 1st
2014 - 4th
2015 - 4th
2016 - 3rd
2017 - 4th
2018 - 10th
 
Appears to be a strong recruiter. NIU finished in the top five in the conference in most of the years he was there. And here are where his offenses finished in the MAC in scoring. Trailed down a little bit as recruiting slipped late in his tenure as his coaches began to get picked off to other jobs.

2011 - 2nd
2012 - 1st
2013 - 1st
2014 - 4th
2015 - 4th
2016 - 3rd
2017 - 4th
2018 - 10th
I've said this in other posts, but I will reiterate here: Carey inherited two highly functional programs. One (NIU) was excellent, the other (Temple) functional. They were both demolished when he left them. Players don't like playing for him. Media types don't like interacting with him and recruits sure as hell aren't interested in committing to him. You don't have to look very hard to see any of this.


The only reason people here keep saying positive things about this dude is because he played here 30 years ago. If his alma mater was....whoever...San Diego St, for example...everyone would be saying, "why in the world are we bringing this guy in with that track record?"

This guy is toxic and is NOT the answer to any of our problems at IU.
 
I've said this in other posts, but I will reiterate here: Carey inherited two highly functional programs. One (NIU) was excellent, the other (Temple) functional. They were both demolished when he left them. Players don't like playing for him. Media types don't like interacting with him and recruits sure as hell aren't interested in committing to him. You don't have to look very hard to see any of this.


The only reason people here keep saying positive things about this dude is because he played here 30 years ago. If his alma mater was....whoever...San Diego St, for example...everyone would be saying, "why in the world are we bringing this guy in with that track record?"

This guy is toxic and is NOT the answer to any of our problems at IU.
Well this is a tough pill to swallow. Hopefully he has improved in those areas.
 
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I've said this in other posts, but I will reiterate here: Carey inherited two highly functional programs. One (NIU) was excellent, the other (Temple) functional. They were both demolished when he left them. Players don't like playing for him. Media types don't like interacting with him and recruits sure as hell aren't interested in committing to him. You don't have to look very hard to see any of this.


The only reason people here keep saying positive things about this dude is because he played here 30 years ago. If his alma mater was....whoever...San Diego St, for example...everyone would be saying, "why in the world are we bringing this guy in with that track record?"

This guy is toxic and is NOT the answer to any of our problems at IU.
I think that describes Temple where the wheels fell off the bus, but that doesn't describe Northern Illinois. He pretty much dominated the MAC the entire time was at NIU. He won 82% of his in conference games. That's unheard of. Even in his last years most of his losses were against Power 5 out of conference teams including good ones like Utah, Ohio State, and Iowa. If you look at the offensive numbers against in conference teams, he put up big offensive numbers in conference. His recruiting was also strong during his tenure and much better than it had been traditionally. I don't see the picture you are painting at NIU.
 
His in conference schedule paints a better picture of his tenure. He went from Best MAC team ever to a top three team in the MAC at his lowest point. The big change is he schedule better out of conference competition. In his last year he played, Utah, Florida State, and Iowa. Those are guaranteed losses for just about any MAC team. Early in his tenure he ran the table in the MAC and beat some lower level power 5 teams, both of which are very unusual for MAC teams.

2012 8-0
2013 8-0
2014 7-1
2015 6-2
2016 - 5-3
2017 6-2
2018 6-2
 
I think that describes Temple where the wheels fell off the bus, but that doesn't describe Northern Illinois. He pretty much dominated the MAC the entire time was at NIU. He won 82% of his in conference games. That's unheard of. Even in his last years most of his losses were against Power 5 out of conference teams including good ones like Utah, Ohio State, and Iowa. If you look at the offensive numbers against in conference teams, he put up big offensive numbers in conference. His recruiting was also strong during his tenure and much better than it had been traditionally. I don't see the picture you are painting at NIU.
I think the point was he took over an already built program at NIU, and it was starting to plateau and even slip ever so slightly when he left.
 
I think that describes Temple where the wheels fell off the bus, but that doesn't describe Northern Illinois. He pretty much dominated the MAC the entire time was at NIU. He won 82% of his in conference games. That's unheard of. Even in his last years most of his losses were against Power 5 out of conference teams including good ones like Utah, Ohio State, and Iowa. If you look at the offensive numbers against in conference teams, he put up big offensive numbers in conference. His recruiting was also strong during his tenure and much better than it had been traditionally. I don't see the picture you are painting at NIU.
His success longevity at NIU is just too positive to discount.
Like I posted elsewhere I couldn't live in Philadelphia let alone thrive. It takes somebody with an adaptable character or familiar with similar cultural experience. Carey pedigree fits good with IUFB.
 
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I like Rod Carey because of the 'not a miracle worker' clear eyed comment. It may have been my imagination, but I thought the line played better right away when he took over mid season. Small improvement maybe, but he's no miracle worker. I don't know much about Xs and Os and technique, but I felt better about it as a fan. So, I think probably players respond to him.

I like the staff now. I'm not whining going forward. It's what we have.

I think the defense will not have too many really bad games. They'll play tough.

The offense can't be worse. Never say it cant be worse, but it should soon be better. QBs are gaining experience, and Carey should already have a good idea what won't work. Unlike Coach Bell I suspect Coach Carey will adjust. Bell may have felt hamstrung by Coach Allen's wishes (just throwing a bone to Bell, I don't think it was a big factor) but I'm sure Carey won't have that issue. Carey seems pretty secure in his own skin and that helps fight for your approach.
 
The talent on Carey’s early NIU teams were largely recruited by Dave Doren before he jumped to NC State. I think it is fair to say the latter end of his NIU record was delivered using players he recruited.
Doren's first and last year recruiting was the 2012 class. They were ranked 8th in the MAC. 2011 was Jerry Kill's class I believe and they were ranked 5th. Carey's first class was 2013 and was ranked 3rd. His 2014 class was also 3rd. And 2015 was 3rd. So he recruited better than his predecessors and he won with their lower level talent and then recruited better talent. He did not have as much success but was still close to the top of the MAC. People seem to trying to create a negative narrative when there wasn't one. His record was not as good because he played a tougher schedule after having early success. He won 82% of his in conference games. That's a good narrative. His most relevant experience may be that last year the offensive line play and the offense improved once he got involved with it. There is a fine line between pointing 30 pts a game up and scoring 10. Hopefully he can push us over that line.
 
Doren's first and last year recruiting was the 2012 class. They were ranked 8th in the MAC. 2011 was Jerry Kill's class I believe and they were ranked 5th. Carey's first class was 2013 and was ranked 3rd. His 2014 class was also 3rd. And 2015 was 3rd. So he recruited better than his predecessors and he won with their lower level talent and then recruited better talent. He did not have as much success but was still close to the top of the MAC. People seem to trying to create a negative narrative when there wasn't one. His record was not as good because he played a tougher schedule after having early success. He won 82% of his in conference games. That's a good narrative. His most relevant experience may be that last year the offensive line play and the offense improved once he got involved with it. There is a fine line between pointing 30 pts a game up and scoring 10. Hopefully he can push us over that line.
I appreciate your opinion, and I hope you're right about Carey. If he gets the offense moving in the right direction...then great. I want the best for the Hoosiers.

But...

For the sake of clarity, I'm not "trying to create a negative narrative", I'm observing that there's plenty of evidence that the narrative is, in fact, negative...

1) You're trying to skip over recent history at Temple for more distant history at UNI. I don't know why you think those Temple years can just be discarded as if they didn't happen, but, as stated before, that was about as negative as it gets in every way a football program can be negative.

2) Even in the more distant past at NIU, his CONFERENCE win numbers by year were:
2013: 8
2014: 7
2015: 6
2016: 5
2017: 6
2018: 6

The trend is pretty obvious. I don't think you're claiming that the MAC got tremendously better but he won fewer games.

Again...I don't mean any disrespect. I just think there's plenty of evidence that this guy isn't a great coach (I haven't even mentioned he's lost every bowl game he's coached). And the players and alumni at Temple clearly didn't think he was a particularly good person.

My original argument is that some people are trying to create a positive narrative when there clearly isn't one.
 
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Doren's first and last year recruiting was the 2012 class. They were ranked 8th in the MAC. 2011 was Jerry Kill's class I believe and they were ranked 5th. Carey's first class was 2013 and was ranked 3rd. His 2014 class was also 3rd. And 2015 was 3rd. So he recruited better than his predecessors and he won with their lower level talent and then recruited better talent. He did not have as much success but was still close to the top of the MAC. People seem to trying to create a negative narrative when there wasn't one. His record was not as good because he played a tougher schedule after having early success. He won 82% of his in conference games. That's a good narrative. His most relevant experience may be that last year the offensive line play and the offense improved once he got involved with it. There is a fine line between pointing 30 pts a game up and scoring 10. Hopefully he can push us over that line.
I think there is enough to warrant the negative narrative because you need to look at his Temple stint too. Not fitting into Philly culture doesn't wipe away losing a locker room and causing key contributors to transfer.

Regardless, he won 79% of his conference games... in the MAC. Then went on to win 30% of his conference games in the AAC with a team that had won 78% of their conference games the previous 4 years between Matt Rhule and Geoff Collins. Carey's predecessors at NIU, Dave Doeren (15-1) and Jerry Kill (18-6), had a combined 83% conference win percentage. Excluding his inaugural 2013 season where Jordan Lynch was leading the offense, Carey went 3-8 against P5 teams (and BYU), winning against a wacky '14 Northwestern team, a bad '17 Nebraska team, and a bad '18 BYU squad. Carey never won any of his 5 bowl games, 6 if you count when he was interim HC in 2012.

This isn't to say that this move isn't a positive or that he won't be an improvement over Bell. It's just that people are excited over a mid-season switch to a coach whose fans were happy when he left both NIU and Temple (duh). Expectations need to be tempered over a hometown guy being put in an important position for this team.
 
I appreciate your opinion, and I hope you're right about Carey. If he gets the offense moving in the right direction...then great. I want the best for the Hoosiers.

But...

For the sake of clarity, I'm not "trying to create a negative narrative", I'm observing that there's plenty of evidence that the narrative is, in fact, negative...

1) You're trying to skip over recent history at Temple for more distant history at UNI. I don't know why you think those Temple years can just be discarded as if they didn't happen, but, as stated before, that was about as negative as it gets in every way a football program can be negative.

2) Even in the more distant past at NIU, his CONFERENCE win numbers by year were:
2013: 8
2014: 7
2015: 6
2016: 5
2017: 6
2018: 6

The trend is pretty obvious. I don't think you're claiming that the MAC got tremendously better but he won fewer games.

Again...I don't mean any disrespect. I just think there's plenty of evidence that this guy isn't a great coach (I haven't even mentioned he's lost every bowl game he's coached). And the players and alumni at Temple clearly didn't think he was a particularly good person.

My original argument is that some people are trying to create a positive narrative when there clearly isn't one.
Yup and the negative narrative on Saban was the Cleveland Browns.
 
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I think there is enough to warrant the negative narrative because you need to look at his Temple stint too. Not fitting into Philly culture doesn't wipe away losing a locker room and causing key contributors to transfer.

Regardless, he won 79% of his conference games... in the MAC. Then went on to win 30% of his conference games in the AAC with a team that had won 78% of their conference games the previous 4 years between Matt Rhule and Geoff Collins. Carey's predecessors at NIU, Dave Doeren (15-1) and Jerry Kill (18-6), had a combined 83% conference win percentage. Excluding his inaugural 2013 season where Jordan Lynch was leading the offense, Carey went 3-8 against P5 teams (and BYU), winning against a wacky '14 Northwestern team, a bad '17 Nebraska team, and a bad '18 BYU squad. Carey never won any of his 5 bowl games, 6 if you count when he was interim HC in 2012.

This isn't to say that this move isn't a positive or that he won't be an improvement over Bell. It's just that people are excited over a mid-season switch to a coach whose fans were happy when he left both NIU and Temple (duh). Expectations need to be tempered over a hometown guy being put in an important position for this team.
Silly.
 
First thing to like about him is…he’s NOT Walt Bell!! Am I the only one who thought Bell came across as some kind of arrogant know it all?? Thought he was some kind of offensive genius. Buddy, your offenses sucked…and long before you got to IU!!

As for Carey, I said it Sunday and will say it again. For a mid-season hire, he’s about as good as it was going to get. And IF CTA is still around in the off season, what decent OC is going to come here?
 
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https://iuhoosiers.com/news/2023/10/4/football-offensive-coordinator-rod-carey-meets-with-media

Press Conference Quotes read well enough.

Good to hear Rod was the Offense QC coach this season. With self scouting there, he really knows what doesn’t work.
I think Rod will improve our offense and eliminate the bad things while emphasizing the good things. I hope he mixes up the pass and run and listens to the QBs about run the plays a little be faster as both are used to it.
 
I like what I heard today. Now if his first play he calls is an option to the short side of the field then I’ll be worried.

I liked what he said about running the plays the QB reads well and eliminating the ones they have a hard time reading. I also liked his comments around run what works. Bell would have a good gain on a play and then never come back to it but plays that weren’t working seemed to get called again and again.

I also liked his philosophy of offense control the game. Never liked Bells play fast concept last year. I’m hopeful that his experience and understanding of the line’s abilities gives him a better perspective on what plays they have a better chance of success.
 
I like what I heard today. Now if his first play he calls is an option to the short side of the field then I’ll be worried.

I liked what he said about running the plays the QB reads well and eliminating the ones they have a hard time reading. I also liked his comments around run what works. Bell would have a good gain on a play and then never come back to it but plays that weren’t working seemed to get called again and again.

I also liked his philosophy of offense control the game. Never liked Bells play fast concept last year. I’m hopeful that his experience and understanding of the line’s abilities gives him a better perspective on what plays they have a better chance of success.
Many things put him several steps ahead of WB. An intangible to Carey vs. Bell is recruiting. I believe he's a better evaluator of a HS player's talent, skills and potential for the benefit of IUFB.
 
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Can we temper our expectations?

We're playing Michigan his first game as OC/QB coach. Under the best of circumstances that's a heavy lift.

I can see many on this board calling for his head if we don't put up big numbers a week from Saturday.
Like we saw with Bob Bostad, many expect immediate results, and the real world rarely turns out that way. We’ve had trouble executing a fairly basic offense, and I’m not sure how much impact RC will have until we can block things much better than we have to date.
 
Can we temper our expectations?

We're playing Michigan his first game as OC/QB coach. Under the best of circumstances that's a heavy lift.

I can see many on this board calling for his head if we don't put up big numbers a week from Saturday.
Yes, those won’t be paper mache 500 lb weights on the carnival strongman’s barbell.
 
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