That's arithmetic . . .
and we need to think in terms of calculus . . . what is the direction of change, and the rate of change, and whether the rate of change is accelerating/decelerating/remaining constant. If you do that with each of the players, and also do it with how the players as individuals coordinate/cooperate/are effective as unit members, and then how the coaching staff do/don't put those players and units in a position of being successful and winning games . . .
. . . I think it's always fair to rate anybody using this sort of analysis. Wins and losses, the supposed bottom line for coaches, that works only when a program is firmly established . . . and Wilson is still establishing a program.
I think it takes 8 years to know what you've really got in a coach who's starting with a failed program.
Using your arithmetic, it'd be a without risk decision to dismiss any coach in Wilson's position. But that doesn't mean it'd be a smart decision . . . my sense is that using the kind of calculus I've offered above you get a completely different answer today because you can project improvement in 2015 over 2013 results, much less 2014, and can also project continuous improvement beyond that.
If you're an immediate gratification guy, you're going to need to become an Alabama or O$U fan, because IU's program is going to take a while still . . . but when we get there, the satisfaction will be sweet, very sweet. And we are going to get there.
This post was edited on 2/15 7:21 PM by Sope Creek