Can't happen.
In a first-past-the-post election system, we also tend to two major parties. History has confirmed this again and again (and it simply just makes sense, as well). If the Tea Party really wants to separate itself from the GOP, then only one of them can survive as a major force.
And it won't be the Tea Party. The other fact that must be dealt with is that, in a two party system, the parties tend toward the center. That is not that they are necessarily moderate, but that they tend to align themselves so they each attract about half the electorate. The Tea Party does not attract half the electorate. If they want to be a major force, they have to shift to the center, closer to the "Establishment" GOP they hate so much.
Of course, if they do that, they won't be the Tea Party, anymore.
The Tea Party as a movement is doomed to failure based on the structural realities of the American electoral system. It's just the way it is.
goat
This post was edited on 11/4 3:18 PM by TheOriginalHappyGoat