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N Y Times: Deflating Deflategate, the evidence & methodology of the Wells report is deeply flawed

Most of your critics never competed or played anything other than World of Warcraft. They're stoners and pretend craft beer aficionados who have trouble getting their homework in on time. You're foolish to expect them to understand football or the folly of DeflateGate. You're foolish to expect them to know what the New York Times is.
If you refer to beer as "craft beer," you're a douche.

That's a fact.

The only guy here that played WoW makes a habit of changing handles like he changes his diarrhea-stained undies. Speaking of changing handles ....................................
 
flat-out, unsourced, unsupported, bald-faced LIE

You're just not in a position to have that information, and neither is the NYT nor the AEI.



flat-out, unsourced, unsupported, bald-faced LIE




flat-out, unsourced, unsupported, bald-faced LIE, with some truth inserted at the end
It's sourced. You just don't need to know the source because you're too unimportant.

But it's 100% accurate.
 
T.M.P. SAYS


TYPICAL

So, "meaningful" to you is dragging up the most tired topic any board has ever had and waiting for the Colt's fans that you so love to call names, to pay attention to you and that does what? Does it inflate your balls, or something?

I've actually defended your intelligence and sanity. I will still defend your intelligence, but not without pointing to your lack of anything resembling wisdom. Your sanity, and your obsession with Brady's balls ... dude. It's bordering insane.

Also, every football conversation needs the correct perspective. Which is football sucks. I am supplying that perspective. Football sucks and you are the absolutely best example of why football sucks. You are the most idiot of fan in a vast ocean of idiot fans..

Thanks.. for helping bring down football. Hopefully, my children will never have to put up with someone like you or such an overrated and stupid game.

.
 
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If you refer to beer as "craft beer," you're a douche.

That's a fact.

The only guy here that played WoW makes a habit of changing handles like he changes his diarrhea-stained undies. Speaking of changing handles ....................................

We agree. This board has many, many douches. They ship each other craft beer and play WoW while getting high and discussing Ft. Wayne eateries. Massengill is envious.
 
If you refer to beer as "craft beer," you're a douche.

That's a fact.

The only guy here that played WoW makes a habit of changing handles like he changes his diarrhea-stained undies. Speaking of changing handles ....................................

You mean ... fender? I think he died.

gollum11_lrg.jpg
 
It's sourced. You just don't need to know the source because you're too unimportant.

But it's 100% accurate.

No, it CANNOT be true, because teams did not prepare or control game footballs in 2003. The rules were changed in 2006.

What an absolute fraud of a douchebag liar you are, but keep listening to those voices in your head.
 
No, it CANNOT be true, because teams did not prepare or control game footballs in 2003. The rules were changed in 2006.

What an absolute fraud of a douchebag liar you are, but keep listening to those voices in your head.
You can shout.

You can resort to juvenile antics.

But it won't change the truth, which is that "this" has been an issue with the Patriots since 2003.

At least since 2003.
 
teams could mess with the game balls at home.

A remarkable thing about Tom Brady, relative to other contemporary Hall of Fame quarterbacks with long careers such as Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, and Brett Favre, is that his road performance is virtually the same as is his home performance:

TB at home: completion percentage 63.6%, passer rating 97.0, yards per game 248
TB on the road: completion percentage 63.4%, passer rating 94.7, yards per game 262, domed stadiums passer rating: 108.9
Link for you to verify: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/B/BradTo00/splits/#advanced

Manning at home: completion percentage 66.1%, passer rating 101.1, yards per game 273
Manning on the road: completion percentage 64.9%, passer rating 94.0, yards per game 272
Link for you to verify: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/M/MannPe00/splits//

Brees at home: completion percentage 67.1%, passer rating 99.8, yards per game 283
Brees on the road: completion percentage 65.3%, passer rating 91.1, yards per game 266
Link for you to verify: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/B/BreeDr00/splits//

Favre at home: completion percentage 62.1%, passer rating 88.3, yards per game 235
Favre on the road: completion percentage 61.8%, passer rating 83.9, yards per game 240
Link for you to verify: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/F/FavrBr00/splits//

As always, I have full support, including links, to back every single statement that I make. If I ever forget to provide such support, please ask

Take for example the AEI statistical analysis of the football inflation data that is the subject of this thread

The AEI report was authored by the economic advisor to the US Treasury during the Clinton and Bush administrations, Dr, Kevin Hassert.

AEI took into account that there were two gauges and that Walt Anderson remembered using the high-reading “logo gauge” in checking the Patriots footballs during pregame

If Anderson’s memory is correct, the odds are 1 in 300 that Wells’ conclusion is correct and that the Patriots footballs were deflated by someone (0.33%).

If Anderson’s memory is correct, the odds are 299 in 300 that Wells’ conclusion is incorrect and nobody deflated the footballs (99.67%).

Even if you assume (for no stated reason) that Anderson's memory is faulty and the non-logo gauge was what he used, the pressure of the Patriots footballs is still NOT different, in terms of statistical significance, from where it should be. The odds that nobody deflated the footballs by even the least reasonably perceptible amount, 1 standard deviation (0.4 psi) is at minimum 67%.

Link for you to verify: https://www.aei.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/On-the-Wells-report.pdf see pages 8 and 10-11.
 
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OS's love for Brady is strong and creepy. Could you imagine if Brady himself read this stuff. I bet he would be a little worried.

Brady has cheated for many years and got caught twice.

I only deal in facts!

LOL
 
"It is unlikely the Patriots illegally deflated their footballs"

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2015/06/14/opinion/deflating-deflategate.html?smid=tw-share&_r=3&referrer=

Deflategate_infographic_b.jpg


New York Times

BEFORE “Deflategate,” the National Football League’s most recent controversy, there was “Bountygate,” in which New Orleans Saints officials were accused of offering bonuses to Saints players who injured members of opposing teams — a policy alleged to have been in place from 2009 to 2011. Initially, several Saints officials and players were penalized by the N.F.L.

In 2012, however, we published an analysis of N.F.L. injury data that found that the Saints injured fewer opposing players than all but two teams did in 2009, and fewer than all but one team did from 2009 to 2011. Even if Saints officials offered “bounties,” there was no good evidence that Saints players were influenced by them.

We presented our findings at an N.F.L. hearing in November 2012. The next month, the N.F.L. vacated all the players’ suspensions.

Considering that our impartiality was at least implicitly recognized by the N.F.L. in the past, we believe that our analysis of the evidence in Deflategate, in a studyreleased Friday by the American Enterprise Institute, could help resolve this latest controversy.

Deflategate is a dispute about whether the New England Patriots used deliberately underinflated footballs in their playoff victory over the Indianapolis Colts in January. (Each N.F.L. team provides its own footballs when on offense, and an underinflated football may be easier to handle in cold or wet conditions.)

The N.F.L. commissioned a study, known as the Wells report, that concluded that it was “more probable than not” that Patriots personnel deliberately violated the rules and that Tom Brady, the Patriots quarterback, was aware of it. Following the release of the Wells report last month, the N.F.L. penalized the Patriots organization and suspended Mr. Brady for four games.

Our study, written with our colleague Joseph Sullivan, examines the evidence and methodology of the Wells report and concludes that it is deeply flawed. (We have no financial stake in the outcome of Deflategate.)

The Wells report’s main finding is that the Patriots balls declined in pressure more than the Colts balls did in the first half of their game, and that the decline is highly statistically significant. For the sake of argument, let’s grant this finding for now. Even still, it alone does not prove misconduct. There are, after all, two possibilities. The first is that the Patriots balls declined too much. The second — overlooked by the Wells report — is that the Colts balls declined too little.

The latter possibility appears to be more likely. The Wells report notes the expected pressure for the footballs at halftime in the Patriots-Colts game, factoring in the decline in pressure to be expected when a ball, inflated in a warm room, has been moved to a cold outdoor field. If the Patriots deflated their balls, their pressure levels at halftime should have fallen below the expected level, while the Colts balls at halftime should have hovered around that level.

But when we analyzed the data provided in the Wells report, we found that the Patriots balls declined by about the expected amount, while the Colts balls declined by less. In fact, the pressure of the Colts balls was statistically significantly higherthan expected. Contrary to the report, the significant difference between the changes in pressure of the two teams’ balls was not because the pressure of the Patriots balls was too low, but because that of the Colts balls was too high.

How could this be? The report’s own findings suggest an explanation: At halftime, N.F.L. officials measured the pressure of “only a sample” of the Colts balls (four out of 12) before they ran out of time; the second half of the game was about to begin. This implies that the Colts balls sat in the warm room where they were to be measured — and thus increased in pressure — for almost the entirety of halftime before being measured.
All of the 11 available Patriots balls, by contrast, were measured at halftime, which suggests that they were measured earlier, when they were colder — and thus lower in pressure. Although this explanation contradicts the Wells report’s conclusions, it fits all the evidence.

There are other factors discussed in our study that undermine support for the Wells report’s conclusions. For example, there is considerable uncertainty concerning the actual pressure of the footballs. The N.F.L. official who checked the pressure before the game used some combination of two pressure gauges to measure the Patriots and Colts balls, but it is not known which particular combination.
One of the gauges, as the report notes, records pressures that are higher than the other. If the official used that gauge to measure the Patriots balls (but not the Colts balls) pregame, then those balls may well have started out with too little air, which could explain a later appearance of intentional deflation. The report, however, does not consider that possibility.

Our recommendation? When the N.F.L. hears Mr. Brady’s appeal of his suspension later this month, it should proceed with the knowledge that the Wells report is unreliable.Kevin A. Hassett is the director of economic studies, and Stan A. Veuger is a resident scholar, at the American Enterprise Institute

Before joining AEI, Dr. Hassett was a senior economist at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and an associate professor of economics and finance at Columbia (University) Business School. He served as a policy consultant to the US Department of the Treasury during the George H. W. Bush and Bill Clinton administrations.

Before joining AEI, Dr. Veuger was a teaching fellow at Harvard University and Universitat Pompeu Fabra. He was a 2012-2013 National Review Institute Washington Fellow, and he is a board member of The Altius Society and of the Washington, D.C. chapter of the Netherland-American Foundation. He is a graduate of Utrecht University and Erasmus University Rotterdam, and holds an M.Sc. in Economics from Universitat Pompeu Fabra, as well as A.M. and Ph.D. degrees, also in Economics, from Harvard University.




Intelligent people are finally attempting to make the ignorant masses understand that they have been duped for months now

You shut your whore mouth!!!
 
I still don't understand any of this. Could someone please explain why anybody thinks the Patriots cheated, and why anyone thinks they didn't. It's very unclear. You'd think folks would be talking about this but its hard to find any info.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

ESPN lied and said that 11 of 12 footballs were deflated by 2 psi.
That lie was not corrected for three months.
by then, public opinion was settled.

Now, the lie is known and there is a 99.7% chance that 0 of 12 footballs were deflated by anyone.

https://www.aei.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/On-the-Wells-report.pdf
 
Brady has cheated for many years and got caught twice.

Brady was never implicated at all in the filming-from-the-wrong-spot scandal and there is a 99.7% chance that he did nothing wrong here.

I only deal in facts.
 
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

ESPN lied and said that 11 of 12 footballs were deflated by 2 psi.
That lie was not corrected for three months.
by then, public opinion was settled.

Now, the lie is known and there is a 99.7% chance that 0 of 12 footballs were deflated by anyone.

https://www.aei.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/On-the-Wells-report.pdf

Lizard People Run Our World’s Governments

Yes, you read that correctly. A segment of our citizenry, larger than the entire population of Ohio, believes that “shape-shifting reptilian people control our world by taking on human form and gaining political power to manipulate our societies.” An additional seven percent of the population thinks the theory has some merit, but hasn’t made up their minds one way or another.

I’ll allow you a moment to process this information.

For those skeptics out there, there’s plenty of proof abound online. Just this week, more evidence surfaced that suggests Justin Bieber is actually a shape-shifting lizard himself. Actually, it would explain a lot if he were.
 
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Brady was never implicated at all in the filming-from-the-wrong-spot scandal and there is a 99.7% chance that he did nothing wrong here.

I only deal in facts.

The Government Uses Television to Control Your Mind

I always knew there was something nefarious about “I Love Lucy.”

Fifteen percent of Americans believe that the “media or the government adds secret mind-controlling technology to television broadcast signals,” with an additional 15 percent unsure either way.

The theory comes from a series of experiments conducted by Herbert Krugman in 1969 that examined the effect of television on an individual’s brainwaves. According to the Truthstream Media:

“Krugman monitored a person through many trials and found that in less than one minute of television viewing, the person’s brainwaves switched from Beta waves — brainwaves associated with active, logical thought — to primarily Alpha waves. When the subject stopped watching television and began reading a magazine, the brainwaves reverted to Beta waves.”

Truthstream uses Krugman’s findings to suggest that “the time may come when the mass media may create special programs to help people modify certain attitudes or behavior… this means that passively learned material has an important ‘advantage’ which some have also associated with so called subliminal perception, extrasensory perception, or hypnotism.”

Perhaps it’s time that I start picking up a book, instead of the remote.
 
STUDY IT, LIVE IT, LEARN IT

The AEI report INFOGRAPHIC, report authored by the economic adviser to the US Treasury during the Clinton and Bush administrations, Dr. Kevin Hassert.

Deflategate_infographic_b.jpg
 
STUDY IT, LIVE IT, LEARN IT

The AEI report INFOGRAPHIC, report authored by the economic adviser to the US Treasury during the Clinton and Bush administrations, Dr. Kevin Hassert.

Deflategate_infographic_b.jpg

Bigfoot is Real

This is a classic. Couldn’t pen an article about conspiracy theories without throwing in something about Bigfoot.

Only 72 percent of the American public shuns the idea that Bigfoot might be real. The remaining 18 percent still hold onto the hope that the elusive hairy giant is our yet-unconfirmed missing evolutionary link.

The idea resonates with mainstream audiences. So much so that Spike TV now airs a show called “10 Million Dollar Bigfoot Bounty,” where participants hunt for definitive proof of the creature’s existence in order to win a multimillion-dollar prize.

10. Osama Bin Laden is Still Alive and Kicking – 6% (18,834,842 Believers)
Apparently, Seal Team 6 failed to put a bullet into the world’s most notorious terrorist’s skull — well, according to six percent of the population, anyway.

An additional 11 percent is willing to consider the idea that the 9/11 mastermind is still toiling away in Afghanistan, Pakistan, or at a Rotary Club event in Colorado.

These truth-seeking Americans won’t be satisfied until we see a body. Where’s the proof, Obama? What happened to those “photographs” of the body?

I weep for Patriot fans..
 
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