Look at it like this though
If you went by what the odds would favor that record would only slip to 12-4, with the two wins by TT over KU and ATM being the unlikely wins.
I don't look at anything other than games my teams won I never would have counted on and games my teams lost I never would have counted on. Right now I'm only "up" a couple or three games.
Of course that means I'm probably backloaded in my schedules with tougher games.