IU +3.5
- Thread starter uncleter
- Start date
Connor Essegian replaces Tominaga against us, even if its just for one game. I really wish he had chosen IU this summer. Either way, If Rice shows up, which he is due to, Indiana can win by 6.
Add in the Mike Woodson factor, the spread is what it is. Big game, need to win as 2-0 in conference to start would be huge.
Basically that spread shows they think the game is even and Nebraska is getting those points for being the home team. I am guessing while already hitting 46% of this 3's, Essegian will have the game of his life and can't miss. Much like Tominaga last year. IU's turnover rate will only set the hometown fans on fire while Nebraska scores on the other end with IU players nowhere near to contest their dunks or layups. I suspect IU will be cold from 3', will not get long rebounds on missed 3's they attempt.
I hope IU proves me wrong but ... consistent data points from this year and previous Woodson years ... prove otherwise.
I hope IU proves me wrong but ... consistent data points from this year and previous Woodson years ... prove otherwise.
Essegian very well might go off tonight. But he isn't even remotely close to the type of player Tominaga was. Tominaga, has Steph Curry like traits that allow him to create and make crazy individual plays. Obviously he's not at Curry's overall level. But Tominaga is MUCH more capable of getting shots on his own, and hitting tough, well guarded shots than Essegian is.
If IU focuses a little bit on Essegian, they should be able to run him off the line fairly well.
My bigger concern is their overall offense is predicated on spreading the defense out, and popping the ball around for a higher volume of outside shots. They haven't been shooting it all that well, lately. But this is the type of team that often "gets right" against IU. Because we're so bad with our help and rotations.
So...Essegian might go off tonight, but if he does, it'll be because he's getting open looks due to our poor rotations, as much as anything. Tominaga went off on us because he was an elite individual scorer.
Essegian had 1 point against MSU, so yeah he will go off tonight.
Yeah. I have little faith in this team’s ability to execute at a high enough level, on the road and against a decent team. Maybe they will prove me wrong but I expect a loss.
While I don't disagree about Tominaga's ability vs. Essegian... IU's ridiculous over helping inside defense allows everyone to get open threes.
Michigan St. is back, they have the deepest guards in the conference, all four are better than anyone on IU!
Yep, we are well-rostered to stop Essegian between Galloway and Carlyle. Whether we will or no is a difference question.
Tominaga averaged about 16 a game last year. throw out the 3 iu games he probably averaged 13, he wasn't an elite scorer we made him one.
In the depths of pessimism I still tend to be overoptimistic before games and so will go with 73-70 IU. I agree they should win on talent alone.
Talent wise we should win most of the games we play in this year. You think that's going to happen?
Nebraska lost at Michigan State by 37, but beat Creighton by 11. My guess is that Nebraska will bounce back after that MSU loss and beat us by 9.
That said, we are SO MUCH more talented than they are....
That said, we are SO MUCH more talented than they are....
