KD was at Fresno when IU beat UM in 2020. UM also only won 2 games in 2020, one of which was an OT game vs. Rutgers. UM was a different team so for as much as one would like to apply that correlation, I don't think it's really relatable.
Not to mention, Washington has talent at WR that IU didn't have. Its really two completely different teams and any outcome truly is possible here. With that being said, I think UM wins this one by at least a TD.