Edit: talked with a buddy of mine today who is a teaching doctor at a major university and he said that they don’t know what the growth rate will look like. Right now it’s doubling every 2 to 3 days but at a certain point it will start to slow down because so many people have been exposed to the virus. I had read another article by a scientist in Israel who said something similar that we tend to travel within certain circles and exposure in those circle will become saturated.The problem is nobody knows when that will be. Nobody knows how many people have been exposed. At this point the experts can only make guesses as to the exposure.
—————————————————————————————————————————-
I am reading, as most all of you are will be reading , that there are projections that the death hotel could peak in three weeks. And that deaths are going to be doubling every 2 to 3 days. So let’s do a little math. We are approaching 1000 paid cases and that’s an easy round number to work with.
First let’s assume the death rate doubles every three days. In a three week period that would mean doubling seven times: 2000, 4000, 8000, 16,000, 32,000, 64,000, 128,000.
Now assume is doubles every two days - that’s 10.5 times: 2000, 4,000, 8,000, 16,000, 32,000, 64,000, 128,000, 256,000, 512,000, 1,024,000, 2,048,000.
There presently is no vaccine or cure. Are you willing to bet that there are “only” going to be 128,000 total deaths in three weeks? Or that there will “only” be 2 million total deaths in three weeks? Right now it is guess work. Every day more information will be analyzed and the picture will become a bit clearer.
Now consider that people who die in three weeks probably are not infected today. No vaccine. No cure. This is why Boris Johnson did a 180 degree turn four days after he said Britain would let the virus run its course. Remember Trump saying he would exclude the Brits from the travel ban because he liked what the UK was doing?
If the Trumpsters were to pack the churches on Easter Sunday there might not be enough of them left to elect him in November.
—————————————————————————————————————————-
I am reading, as most all of you are will be reading , that there are projections that the death hotel could peak in three weeks. And that deaths are going to be doubling every 2 to 3 days. So let’s do a little math. We are approaching 1000 paid cases and that’s an easy round number to work with.
First let’s assume the death rate doubles every three days. In a three week period that would mean doubling seven times: 2000, 4000, 8000, 16,000, 32,000, 64,000, 128,000.
Now assume is doubles every two days - that’s 10.5 times: 2000, 4,000, 8,000, 16,000, 32,000, 64,000, 128,000, 256,000, 512,000, 1,024,000, 2,048,000.
There presently is no vaccine or cure. Are you willing to bet that there are “only” going to be 128,000 total deaths in three weeks? Or that there will “only” be 2 million total deaths in three weeks? Right now it is guess work. Every day more information will be analyzed and the picture will become a bit clearer.
Now consider that people who die in three weeks probably are not infected today. No vaccine. No cure. This is why Boris Johnson did a 180 degree turn four days after he said Britain would let the virus run its course. Remember Trump saying he would exclude the Brits from the travel ban because he liked what the UK was doing?
If the Trumpsters were to pack the churches on Easter Sunday there might not be enough of them left to elect him in November.
Last edited: