CFB Projection (updated)

[daddyhoosier]

updated 12:48 AM

Outright Ranking:

1. Oregon
2. Texas
3. Penn State
4. Notre Dame
5. Georgia
6. Tennessee
7. SMU
8. Ohio St
9. Indiana
10. Boise St
11. Miami
12. Alabama
13. Arizona State
14. South Carolina

Re-ranking:

1. Oregon
2. Texas
3. SMU
4. Boise St
5. Penn St
6. Notre Dame
7. Georgia
8. Tennessee
9. Ohio St
10. Indiana
11. Miami
12. Arizona State

Clemson can still get in by beating SMU, if that happens basically just switch them out with Miami. I predict Miami will be 11th as a place-holder (in case Clemson wins)
Tulane and UNLV are still alive to supplant Boise St

 

[td75]

So who would we play, at Tennessee?

 

[daddyhoosier]

So who would we play, at Tennessee?

Yes, 8 v 9

 

[SRIV94]

So who would we play, at Tennessee?

Correct.

 

[td75]

That would be a battle!

 

[ribbont]

Outright Ranking:

1. Oregon
2. Texas
3. Penn State
4. Notre Dame
5. Georgia
6. Tennessee
7. Indiana
8. SMU
9. Ohio St
10. Boise St
11. Miami
12. Alabama
13. South Carolina

Re-ranking:

1. Oregon
2. Texas
3. SMU
4. Boise St
5. Penn St
6. Notre Dame
7. Georgia
8. Tennessee
9. Indiana
10. Ohio St
11. Miami
12. Arizona State

Clemson can still get in by beating SMU, if that happens basically just switch them out with Miami
Tulane and UNLV are still alive to supplant Boise St

I'd say 5. Tennessee, 6. UGA 7. SMU 8.
OSU 9. IU

 

[ulrey]

If unlv beats Boise State . Rebels are in

 

[hoosierfan13]

So who would we play, at Tennessee?

That's not going to happen.

The hosting teams are going to be the Big Ten runner up (PSU/Oregon), the SEC runner up (Georgia/Texas), ND and OSU.

PSU is the weakest of those teams so we should be rooting for a 6/11 matchup against them.

If we win in Happy Valley then we would play the 3 seed (SMU/Clemson).

 

[daddyhoosier]

I'd say 5. Tennessee, 6. UGA 7. SMU 8.
OSU 9. IU

Tennessee could definitely jump UGA since the Dawgs struggled.

 

[welshman#]

So IU is now ahead of OSU in conference standings? What if Oregon hands PSU a 2nd conference loss in Indy?

 

[hoosierfan13]

Tennessee could definitely jump UGA since the Dawgs struggled.

Tennessee is not jumping them. UGA beat them 2 weeks ago by 14. They have the same record.

 

[daddyhoosier]

Tennessee is not jumping them. UGA beat them 2 weeks ago by 14. They have the same record.

What are your rankings?

 

[dr.jb]

no way they'll drop o$u that far

 

[frikkenfrakken]

I doubt they will move OSU below us 10 days after they beat us somewhat soundly.

I'd switch OSU and IU in those rankings. After the championship games, I think we will be the 10 seed behind ND, the BIG champ loser, the SEC champ loser, Tennessee, and OSU. But there's essentially no chance we don't get in.

If Clemson auto qualifies, SMU likely falls below us and it's a wash. The B12 and G5 will get one bid.

 

[hoosierfan13]

What are your rankings?

(1) Big Ten/SEC Champ
(2) Big Ten/SEC Champ
(3) Big 12/ACC/MWC Champ
(4) Big 12/ACC/MWC Champ
(5) Big Ten/SEC runner up
(6) Big Ten/SEC runner up
(7) Notre Dame
(8) Ohio State
(9) Tennessee
(10) SMU (if loss) or Indiana
(11) Indiana or Alabama
(12) Big 12/ACC/MWC Champ

Sorry, just to clarify, this is the playoff seedings, not the rankings

 

[hoosierfan13]

I doubt they will move OSU below us 10 days after they beat us somewhat soundly.

I'd switch OSU and IU in those rankings. After the championship games, I think we will be the 10 seed behind ND, the BIG champ loser, the SEC champ loser, Tennessee, and OSU. But there's essentially no chance we don't get in.

If Clemson auto qualifies, SMU likely falls below us and it's a wash. The B12 and G5 will get one bid.

Are we certain that SMU would fall below us if losing?

Precedent was set with TCU-Kansas State a few years ago that teams weren't going to be penalized for playing their conference championship games.

The committee is going to have an interesting decision on Miami/Alabama on Tuesday.

 

[SRIV94]

(1) Big Ten/SEC Champ
(2) Big Ten/SEC Champ
(3) Big 12/ACC/MWC Champ
(4) Big 12/ACC/MWC Champ
(5) Big Ten/SEC runner up
(6) Big Ten/SEC runner up
(7) Notre Dame
(8) Ohio State
(9) Tennessee
(10) SMU (if loss) or Indiana
(11) Indiana or Alabama
(12) Big 12/ACC/MWC Champ

You’re not suggesting ALA gets in at IND’s expense if CLEM wins the ACCCG, correct?

You do raise a great point about the decision the committee makes between ALA and MIA. ALA’s wins are better but their losses are worse (and they have more of them). MIA’s been more consistent.

 

[daddyhoosier]

I doubt they will move OSU below us 10 days after they beat us somewhat soundly.

I'd switch OSU and IU in those rankings. After the championship games, I think we will be the 10 seed behind ND, the BIG champ loser, the SEC champ loser, Tennessee, and OSU. But there's essentially no chance we don't get in.

If Clemson auto qualifies, SMU likely falls below us and it's a wash. The B12 and G5 will get one bid.

I

I doubt they will move OSU below us 10 days after they beat us somewhat soundly.

I'd switch OSU and IU in those rankings. After the championship games, I think we will be the 10 seed behind ND, the BIG champ loser, the SEC champ loser, Tennessee, and OSU. But there's essentially no chance we don't get in.

If Clemson auto qualifies, SMU likely falls below us and it's a wash. The B12 and G5 will get one bid.

So:
7 Ohio St
8 Indiana
9 SMU

I can see that for sure. You could very well be right.

 

[hoosierfan13]

You’re not suggesting ALA gets in at IND’s expense if CLEM wins the ACCCG, correct?

You do raise a great point about the decision the committee makes between ALA and MIA. ALA’s wins are better but their losses are worse (and they have more of them). MIA’s been more consistent.

Alabama is not getting in over Indiana, rather they took Miami's spot today, according to betting odds.

We're going to be the 10 seed (SMU beats Clemson) or the 11 seed (Clemson beats SMU), but that's assuming that the committee honors the "we aren't going to penalize you for losing your conference championship game" criteria that they've set in previous playoffs.

 

[frikkenfrakken]

I

So:
7 Ohio St
8 Indiana
9 SMU

I can see that for sure. You could very well be right.

7. Osu
8. Smu
9. Iu

And I hate this--because if Clemson auto qualifies and SMU drops a spot or 3, we end up back in frigging columbus.

 

[jopajackson]

7. Osu
8. Smu
9. Iu

And I hate this--because if Clemson auto qualifies and SMU drops a spot or 3, we end up back in frigging columbus.

I was thinking the same thing tonight. Worst part about OSU losing today means we might have to go back to Columbus again.

 

[76-1]

I was thinking the same thing tonight. Worst part about OSU losing today means we might have to go back to Columbus again.

Look at the positives... They're certain to underestimate us when they play us again and their fans might not be as rabid the 2nd time around... If we get up on them early their fans will turn on Day and their own team...