I don't know if the poll is accurate or not, but your post leaves me confused. I'm not sure what relevance this statement has to the poll?
"All you jerks who have been mistreating your Republican “friends” the last several years have started a tsunami - and it’s gonna sweep the Democrats into the ash-heap."
Now I don't know if you're just trolling, or if you're making what you think is an accurate assessment. But I think the pro vs anti-Trump aspect of the primaries heading into the 2022 midterms is going to result in some very problematic candidates emerging for the GOP who have to face the entire electorate in the midterms...
Generally speaking, primary voters are the most extreme faction of their respective parties. Because Biden is a centrist, that left-wing element of the Dems will be muted in terms of which Dem candidates emerge into the General election. We already saw that in Ohio where Nina Turner lost to Shontel Brown. Progressives aren't happy, but the fact is if progressives had turned out in the necessary amount Turner would have won. The fact that she lost, indicates that Brown is the BEST Dem candidate to appeal to general election voters, who tend to be moderate...
The Pubs may win the House, where races are inordinately shaped by redistricting.
But the Senate where all the voters in the state have a voice is going to be problematic for pro-Trump GOP candidates who come from purple states where Trump is a negative.
Just today Herschel Walker announced he's running in GA for Warnock's seat, and he'll likely emerge as the GOP candidate. But even before he announced it's become clear he's a flawed candidate with domestic abuse issues, including his wife recounting in a book that he pointed a gun at her head.
Former UGA football player Herschel Walker has been eyeing a political run. Associated Press documents reveals a turbulent personal history.
www.onlineathens.com
If Warnock was running after a 6 yr term and had any sort of negative record, then he might be vulnerable to a flawed candidate. But with this election coming only 2 yrs into Warnock's term, I'm not sure Walker is the candidate to take away Warnock's support from the coalition that elected him.
Walker (like Warnock) is a political novice. He has name recognition, but how does that translate to support among the same (former GOP leaning) Suburban voters who will choose between the Pastor of Ebenezer Church (who they just elected) and a former football star who has had several run-ins with domestic abuse allegations? Walker won't be bothered by those issues when he has Trump's endorsement in the Primary, but that's just not going to help him with the people who already voted for Biden and Warnock 2 yrs earlier...
And GA might be the best option the GOP has for stealing a Dem Senate seat. Conversely, the GOP could be in trouble in both NC and WI, where Trump will be an issue. In NC Trump endorsed the weakest of 3 Pub candidates in terms of having the best shot in the general. If that candidate (Ted Budd) beats out McCrory, then the Dems have an excellent chance to pick up Burr's seat...
Ron Johnson in Wisconsin still hasn't announced if he'll retire. If he doesn't run then the Pubs have to come up with a viable candidate and time is getting short. But even if he runs he has spent the past 6 months making a fool of himself and alienating non-Trumpists. Again he appeals to the GOP Primary voter, but trying to pivot to the center for the general will be hard for him, in light of the way he's alienated folks with his bizarre behavior.
Downplaying events of Jan 6 and opposing Juneteenth will work for Senators in deep Red states. But Wisconsin has elected all Dems since Trump and Johnson both won in 2016, so it's not even trending pink. Baldwin won re-election in 2018 by double digits, following Trump's narrow victory in 2016 when turnout was low. An Aug MU poll showed Johnson's approval rating in the high 30s, which IMO shows how much of a problem he's going to have trying to shake his pro-Trump image...