You referred to, "everything Trump does to stoke his base."
Why in the world does Trump think he needs to do anything to stoke his base? Is it really possible that Trump thinks he is losing his hardcore base?
I'd refer you to 2 articles. First is the urgent visit by Bossie and Lewandoski last week, where they warned Trump he was in serious danger in AZ and FL. McSally is a huge problem in AZ, she's going to drag Trump down with her...
But the issue in FL is that he's hemorrhaging older voters, and DeSantis hasn't helped. Calling FL "God's waiting room wasn't a particularly favorable comment in a lot of people's eyes...
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/26/trump-campaign-lewandowski-bossie-283089
But even more relevant to my comment is this study just released...
"
President Donald Trump's endorsement of
Republicans isn't a sure-fire bet that they'll succeed in their elections, and data suggests it may actually hurt their chances.
Data published by
Legislative Studies Quarterly suggests Mr. Trump's endorsement by no means guarantees a win for a conservative candidate. Since he took office, the Republican party has lost a total of 15 seats — 11 in the House and four in the
Senate — all of whose candidates had Mr. Trump's endorsement.
According to the findings, when Mr. Trump endorsed a candidate, it inspired increased donations towards the candidate's opponent by their supporters."
"Overall, the researchers found that candidates who were endorsed by the president fared worse in their campaigns than the candidates who Mr. Trump did not endorse."
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/...publican-seats-us-election-2020-a9537886.html
Trump has basically played to his base for the past 4 yrs. He hasn't done anything to expand it. And outside of Ruby red US states, his endorsement has been akin to the kiss of death.
Just last March he decided to endorse a Conservative SC Justice in Wisconsin, who was likely en route to a mundane win in a race no one was paying attention to. Trump tweets his endorsement, Dem voters respond and the Justice Trump endorsed loses by 10% to someone most of the public had never heard of...